Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Big West Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023
The No. 7 seed Long Beach State Beach (17-15, 11-9 Big West) are favored by 9 points in their Big West Tournament matchup against the No. 10 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (7-24, 1-18 Big West) on Tuesday at Dollar Loan Center, beginning at 11:30 PM on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is 136.5.
Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Odds
- Long Beach State odds to win: -467
- Cal Poly odds to win: +351
- Spread: Long Beach State (-9)
- Total: 136.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
- Time: 11:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Henderson, Nevada
- Venue: Dollar Loan Center
Who Will Win Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly?
Long Beach State and Cal Poly Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 9-point favorites this season, Long Beach State is 2-3 against the spread.
In games this season in which it was an underdog by 9 points or more, Cal Poly has a 7-3 record against the spread.
These two teams average 136.9 points per game combined, 0.4 more than the over/under of 136.5.
Long Beach State and Cal Poly have seen its opponents average a combined 3.4 more points per game than the point total of 136.5 set for this matchup.
The average total Long Beach State has had in its matchups this year is 14.2 more points than this particular game’s point total.
Mustangs games this season have averaged a total of 126 points, 10.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Beach have put together a 13-16-1 record against the spread.
The Mustangs are 16-13-0 ATS this year.
Long Beach State Stats & Insights
Long Beach State is outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game with a +89 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.8 points per game (58th in college basketball) and gives up 74 per outing (294th in college basketball).
Long Beach State ranks second in college basketball at 37.7 rebounds per game. That’s 6.1 more than the 31.6 its opponents average.
The Beach knock down 4.4 three-pointers per game (361st in college basketball), 3.9 fewer than their opponents (8.3).
Long Beach State ranks 247th in college basketball with 91.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 77th in college basketball defensively with 87.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Beach are averaging 77.1 points per game at home. On the road, they are performing better on offense, averaging 78.3 points per contest.
Cal Poly Stats & Insights
Cal Poly has a -178 scoring differential, falling short by 5.8 points per game. It is putting up 60.1 points per game, 360th in college basketball, and is allowing 65.9 per outing to rank 60th in college basketball.
Cal Poly grabs 28.6 rebounds per game (326th in college basketball), compared to the 28.6 of its opponents.
Cal Poly makes 5.5 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.4. It shoots 29.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.5%.
Cal Poly’s 84.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 351st in college basketball, and the 92.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 197th in college basketball.
In 2022-23 the Mustangs are averaging 6.4 more points per game at home (63) than on the road (56.6).
Long Beach State Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Beach this season is Marcus Tsohonis, who averages 14.4 points, 3.4 rebounds, and two assists per game.
Lassina Traore is Long Beach State’s leading rebounder, grabbing 10.6 per game, while Aboubacar Traore is its best passer, averaging 3.5 assists in each contest.
Jadon Jones leads the Beach in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Jones is Long Beach State’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.7 steals and 0.8 blocks per game.
Cal Poly Key Players to Watch
Alimamy Koroma puts up 10.6 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mustangs.
Trevon Taylor has a stat line of 4.9 rebounds, 8.4 points and 1.1 assists per game for Cal Poly to take the top rebound spot on the team. Kobe Sanders has the top spot for assists with 2.2 per game, adding 7.7 points and 3.2 rebounds per matchup.
Chance Hunter averages 1.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Mustangs.
Cal Poly’s leader in steals is Sanders (1.2 per game), and its leader in blocks is Koroma (0.9 per game).
Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Cal Poly (+9)
- Pick OU:
Long Beach State 73, Cal Poly 65
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How to Bet on Long Beach State vs. Cal Poly
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