Mount St. Mary’s vs. Canisius MAAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023
The No. 8 seed Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (12-19, 8-12 MAAC) are 2-point favorites in the MAAC Tournament over the No. 9 seed Canisius Golden Griffins (10-19, 8-12 MAAC) on Tuesday at Boardwalk Hall. The contest starts at 5:00 PM and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is set at 136.
Mount St. Mary’s vs. Canisius Odds
- Mount St. Mary’s odds to win: -135
- Canisius odds to win: +115
- Spread: Mount St. Mary’s (-2)
- Total: 136
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Atlantic City, New Jersey
- Venue: Boardwalk Hall
Who Will Win Mount St. Mary’s vs. Canisius?
Mount St. Mary’s and Canisius Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Mount St. Mary’s has a 2-5 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
In games this season in which it was an underdog by 2 points or more, Canisius has a 12-8 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 1.6 fewer points per game (134.4) than this game’s total of 136 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.3 more points per game, 139.3, than this game’s total of 136 points.
Mount St. Mary’s average point total in matchups this year is 130.7, 5.3 points less than the total in this game.
The average over/under in Golden Griffins games this year is seven more points than the point total of 136 in this outing.
The Mountaineers’ ATS record is 12-17-1 this season.
The Golden Griffins are 16-12-0 ATS this year.
Mount St. Mary’s Stats & Insights
Mount St. Mary’s averages 63.9 points per game (340th in college basketball) while giving up 66.8 per outing (83rd in college basketball). It has a -92 scoring differential overall and has been outscored by 2.9 points per game.
The 29.8 rebounds per game Mount St. Mary’s averages rank 284th in college basketball, and are 1.5 fewer than the 31.3 its opponents grab per contest.
The Mountaineers hit 6.7 three-pointers per game (257th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.8 on average.
Mount St. Mary’s averages 86.1 points per 100 possessions (336th in college basketball), while giving up 90.1 points per 100 possessions (135th in college basketball).
When playing at home, the Mountaineers are averaging 4.2 fewer points per game (61.6) than they are away from home (65.8).
Canisius Stats & Insights
Canisius has a -57 scoring differential, falling short by two points per game. It is putting up 70.5 points per game, 204th in college basketball, and is allowing 72.5 per outing to rank 249th in college basketball.
Canisius falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.3 boards. It grabs 30.6 rebounds per game (254th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.9.
Canisius connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (58th in college basketball) at a 35% rate (138th in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 per game its opponents make, at a 36.7% rate.
Canisius ranks 243rd in college basketball with 91.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 255th defensively with 93.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home the Golden Griffins are scoring 72.8 points per game, 2.9 more than they are averaging on the road (69.9).
Mount St. Mary’s Key Players to Watch
The Mountaineers leader in points and assists is Jalen Benjamin, who scores 15.8 points per game along with 3.8 assists.
Mount St. Mary’s best rebounder is Malik Jefferson, who averages 7.3 boards per game in addition to his 8.8 PPG average.
The Mountaineers get the most three-point shooting production out of Dakota Leffew, who knocks down 2.3 threes per game.
Leffew and Jefferson lead Mount St. Mary’s on the defensive end, with Leffew leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Jefferson in blocks averaging 0.7 per contest.
Canisius Key Players to Watch
Jordan Henderson scores 13.8 points per game and is the top scorer for the Golden Griffins.
Jacco Fritz puts up a stat line of 5.9 rebounds, 8.4 points and 2.4 assists per game for Canisius to take the top rebound spot on the team. Tahj Staveskie has the top spot for assists with 2.8 per game, adding 12.3 points and 3.2 rebounds per outing.
Henderson is the top shooter from deep for the Golden Griffins, hitting two threes per game.
Canisius’ leader in steals is Henderson (one per game), and its leader in blocks is Fritz (0.5 per game).
Mount St. Mary’s vs. Canisius Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Canisius (+2)
- Pick OU:
Over (136)
- Prediction:
Canisius 70, Mount St. Mary’s 69
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