Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley WAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023
The No. 10 seed UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (15-16, 6-12 WAC) are 7-point underdogs in their WAC Tournament matchup against the No. 7 seed Tarleton State Texans (16-15, 9-9 WAC) on Tuesday at Michelob ULTRA Arena, starting at 9:00 PM on ESPN+. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 146.5.
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds
- Tarleton State odds to win: -319
- UT Rio Grande Valley odds to win: +258
- Spread: Tarleton State (-7)
- Total: 146.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Who Will Win Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley?
Tarleton State and UT Rio Grande Valley Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 7-point favorites this season, Tarleton State is 2-2 against the spread.
In games it has played as at least a 7-point underdog this season, UT Rio Grande Valley is 6-8 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 4.9 more points per game, 151.4, than this matchup’s total of 146.5 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 145.8 points per game, 0.7 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
Tarleton State’s average point total in matchups this season is 139.9, 6.6 points fewer than the total in this game.
The average point total for the Vaqueros this season is 10.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Texans are 13-14-0 against the spread this season.
The Vaqueros are 13-14-0 against the spread this year.
Tarleton State Stats & Insights
Tarleton State outscores opponents by 4.9 points per game (scoring 72.4 per game to rank 166th in college basketball while allowing 67.5 per outing to rank 100th in college basketball) and has a +150 scoring differential overall.
Tarleton State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. It is recording 27.9 rebounds per game (349th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30 per outing.
The Texans knock down 4.9 three-pointers per game (353rd in college basketball), 2.8 fewer than their opponents (7.7). They are shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc (198th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.3%.
Tarleton State ranks 163rd in college basketball with 94.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 88th in college basketball defensively with 88.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Texans are averaging 80.8 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 63.6 points per contest.
UT Rio Grande Valley Stats & Insights
UT Rio Grande Valley has a +20 scoring differential, putting up 79 points per game (29th in college basketball) and conceding 78.3 (351st in college basketball).
UT Rio Grande Valley records 34.1 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball) while allowing 30.4 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.7 boards per game.
UT Rio Grande Valley connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (244th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6. It shoots 33.9% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.1%.
UT Rio Grande Valley records 94.8 points per 100 possessions (155th in college basketball), while giving up 94 points per 100 possessions (257th in college basketball).
In 2022-23 the Vaqueros are averaging 13.2 more points per game at home (84.5) than on the road (71.3).
Tarleton State Key Players to Watch
Lue Williams leads the Texans in scoring, tallying 11.1 points per game to go with 3.1 rebounds and 0.9 assists.
Jakorie Smith leads Tarleton State in rebounding, averaging 3.8 per game, while Shakur Daniel leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 2.9 in each contest.
The Texans get the most three-point shooting production out of Williams, who knocks down 1.5 threes per game.
The Tarleton State steals leader is Shamir Bogues, who averages two takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Kiandre Gaddy, who compiles 0.8 rejections per contest.
UT Rio Grande Valley Key Players to Watch
Justin Johnson is the top scorer for the Vaqueros with 20.6 points per game. He also tacks on 5.2 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game to his statistics.
The UT Rio Grande Valley leaders in rebounding and assists are Daylen Williams with 6.4 rebounds per game (he also adds 6.2 points and 2.8 assists per game) and Will Johnston with 3.7 assists per game (he also tacks on 14.5 points and 2.2 rebounds per game).
Johnston is the most prolific from deep for the Vaqueros, hitting 2.4 threes per game.
UT Rio Grande Valley’s leader in steals is Daylen Williams with one per game, and its leader in blocks is Dima Zdor with 1.3 per game.
Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UT Rio Grande Valley (+7)
- Pick OU:
Tarleton State 76, UT Rio Grande Valley 71
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How to Bet on Tarleton State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley
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