Alcorn State vs. Texas Southern SWAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 8, 2023
The No. 1 seed Alcorn State Braves (18-12, 15-3 SWAC) are favored by 2 points when they face off the No. 8 seed Texas Southern Tigers (11-20, 7-11 SWAC) in the SWAC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Wednesday at Bartow Arena tipping off at 9:30 PM and airing on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 141.5 points.
Alcorn State vs. Texas Southern Odds
- Alcorn State odds to win: -137
- Texas Southern odds to win: +115
- Spread: Alcorn State (-2)
- Total: 141.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Birmingham, Alabama
- Venue: Bartow Arena
Who Will Win Alcorn State vs. Texas Southern?
Alcorn State and Texas Southern Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Alcorn State has a 5-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.
In games it has played as at least a 2-point underdog this season, Texas Southern is 5-8 against the spread.
The Braves and the Tigers combine to average 3.5 fewer points per game than the total of 141.5 set for this matchup.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.0 more points per game, 143.5, than this matchup’s total of 141.5 points.
The average total Alcorn State has had set in matchups this year is 2.4 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average total for Tigers games this year is 0.9 more points than the point total of 141.5 in this outing.
So far this season, the Braves have compiled a 15-15-0 record against the spread.
The Tigers have an 8-21-0 record against the spread this season.
Alcorn State Stats & Insights
Alcorn State has been outscored by 2.5 points per game (scoring 68.3 per game to rank 271st in college basketball while allowing 70.8 per contest to rank 198th in college basketball) and has a -74 scoring differential overall.
Alcorn State ranks 211th in the nation at 31.3 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31 its opponents average.
The Braves connect on 5.2 three-pointers per game (345th in college basketball) while shooting 29.6% from deep (352nd in college basketball). They are making 2.3 fewer threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 7.5 per game while shooting 33.5%.
Alcorn State puts up 87.7 points per 100 possessions (314th in college basketball), while allowing 90.8 points per 100 possessions (159th in college basketball).
The Braves are averaging 76.8 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, they are averaging 64.7 points per contest.
Texas Southern Stats & Insights
Texas Southern puts up 69.7 points per game (226th in college basketball) while allowing 72.7 per contest (258th in college basketball). It has a -93 scoring differential and has been outscored by three points per game.
Texas Southern wins the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. It records 33.9 rebounds per game, 58th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.2.
Texas Southern connects on 4.8 three-pointers per game (357th in college basketball), 2.2 fewer than its opponents.
Texas Southern’s 86.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 328th in college basketball, and the 90.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 148th in college basketball.
The Tigers score 75.4 points per game at home, and 64.5 away.
Alcorn State Key Players to Watch
The Braves scoring leader is Dominic Brewton, who averages 12 per contest to go with 3.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
Jeremiah Kendall leads Alcorn State in rebounding, averaging 6.9 per game, while Byron Joshua leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.1 in each contest.
Dekedran Thorn leads the Braves in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Joshua and LaDarius Marshall lead Alcorn State on the defensive end, with Joshua leading the team in steals averaging 1.6 per game and Marshall in blocks averaging 0.7 per contest.
Texas Southern Key Players to Watch
Davon Barnes is the top scorer for the Tigers with 13.2 points per game. He also tacks on 4.1 rebounds and two assists per game to his scoring output.
The Texas Southern leaders in rebounding and assists are Joirdon Karl Nicholas with 9.2 rebounds per game (he also adds 11.2 points and 1.5 assists per game) and PJ Henry with 2.1 assists per game (he also tacks on 12.1 points and 1.8 rebounds per game).
Henry is the top shooter from deep for the Tigers, hitting 1.8 threes per game.
Texas Southern’s leader in steals is Zytarious Mortle (1.4 per game), and its leader in blocks is Nicholas (1.1 per game).
Alcorn State vs. Texas Southern Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Alcorn State (-2)
- Pick OU:
Alcorn State 72, Texas Southern 69
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How to Bet on Alcorn State vs. Texas Southern
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