Arkansas vs. Auburn SEC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (19-12, 8-10 SEC) are 3-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 7 seed Auburn Tigers (20-11, 10-8 SEC) in the SEC Tournament Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 7:00 PM on SEC Network. The matchup’s point total is set at 144.
Arkansas vs. Auburn Odds
- Arkansas odds to win: -160
- Auburn odds to win: +136
- Spread: Arkansas (-3)
- Total: 144
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: SEC Network
- Where: Nashville, Tennessee
- Venue: Bridgestone Arena
Who Will Win Arkansas vs. Auburn?
Arkansas and Auburn Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Arkansas has an 11-9-1 record against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
Auburn has a 3-2 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 3 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 3.5 more points per game, 147.5, than this game’s total of 144 points.
Arkansas and Auburn have seen their opponents average a combined 10 fewer points per game than the over/under of 144 set in this outing.
The average over/under Arkansas has had set in games this season is two fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Tigers this season is 4.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, the Razorbacks have put together a 15-15-1 record against the spread.
The Tigers’ ATS record is 15-16-0 this year.
Arkansas Stats & Insights
Arkansas is outscoring opponents by 7.6 points per game with a +235 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.8 points per game (108th in college basketball) and gives up 67.2 per outing (95th in college basketball).
Arkansas is 132nd in the nation at 32.5 rebounds per game. That’s 3.1 more than the 29.4 its opponents average.
The Razorbacks connect on 5.2 three-pointers per game (345th in college basketball) at a 32.1% rate (294th in college basketball), compared to the 5.3 their opponents make while shooting 30.9% from beyond the arc.
Arkansas’ 95.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 132nd in college basketball, and the 85.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 47th in college basketball.
The Razorbacks are putting up 76.3 points per game in home games. Away from home, they are averaging 68.9 points per contest.
Auburn Stats & Insights
Auburn has a +184 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.9 points per game. It is putting up 72.7 points per game, 158th in college basketball, and is allowing 66.8 per contest to rank 82nd in college basketball.
Auburn prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.6 boards. It collects 33.3 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.7.
Auburn makes 6.5 three-pointers per game (278th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 5.6 on average.
Auburn’s 92.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 210th in college basketball, and the 85.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 37th in college basketball.
At home the Tigers are putting up 75.1 points per game, 4.2 more than they are averaging on the road (70.9).
Arkansas Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Razorbacks this season is Ricky Council IV, who averages 16.5 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game.
Arkansas’ leading rebounder is Makhi Mitchell averaging 5.5 boards per game and its best passer is Anthony Black and his 4.2 assists per game.
Davonte Davis makes more threes per game than any other member of the Razorbacks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.4 per contest.
Black and Makhel Mitchell lead Arkansas on the defensive end, with Black leading the team in steals averaging two per game and Makhel Mitchell in blocks averaging 1.7 per contest.
Auburn Key Players to Watch
Johni Broome sits on top of the Tigers leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 14 points and 8.4 rebounds per game.
Wendell Green Jr.’s assist statline leads Auburn; he dishes out 4.2 assists per game.
Jaylin Williams knocks down 1.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Tigers.
Green (1.7 steals per game) is the steal leader for Auburn while Broome (2.4 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Arkansas vs. Auburn Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Arkansas 71, Auburn 70
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How to Bet on Arkansas vs. Auburn
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