Colorado State vs. Fresno State MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 8, 2023
The MWC conference tournament continues Wednesday as the No. 8 seed Colorado State Rams (14-17, 6-12 MWC) face off against the No. 9 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (11-19, 6-12 MWC) at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 2:00 PM on MW Network. Colorado State is a 3.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 133.5 in the matchup.
Colorado State vs. Fresno State Odds
- Colorado State odds to win: -159
- Fresno State odds to win: +136
- Spread: Colorado State (-3.5)
- Total: 133.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- TV: MW Network
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
Who Will Win Colorado State vs. Fresno State?
Colorado State and Fresno State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Colorado State has a 5-5 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
Fresno State has a 6-8 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
These teams average a combined 136.6 points per game, 3.1 more points than the over/under of 133.5 set for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.9 more points per game (137.4) than this matchup’s total of 133.5 points.
Colorado State’s average total in outings this season has been 144.8, 11.3 points higher than the total in this particular game.
Bulldogs games this season have averaged a total of 129.3 points, 4.2 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Rams’ ATS record is 12-18-0 this season.
The Bulldogs have an 11-18-0 record against the spread this season.
Colorado State Stats & Insights
Colorado State has a +37 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.2 points per game. It is putting up 73 points per game to rank 149th in college basketball and is allowing 71.8 per outing to rank 234th in college basketball.
Colorado State loses the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. it records 28.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 332nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.1 per contest.
The Rams hit 1.4 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 7.7 (139th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 9.1.
Colorado State averages 100.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (32nd in college basketball), and allows 98.8 points per 100 possessions (344th in college basketball).
In home games, the Rams are scoring 17.8 more points per game (81.1) than they are on the road (63.3).
Fresno State Stats & Insights
Fresno State has been outscored by 2.0 points per game (posting 63.6 points per game, 343rd in college basketball, while giving up 65.6 per outing, 55th in college basketball) and has a -60 scoring differential.
Fresno State grabs 27.4 rebounds per game (358th in college basketball) while allowing 29.9 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.5 boards per game.
Fresno State hits 6.7 three-pointers per game (257th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.3 on average.
Fresno State averages 90.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (266th in college basketball), and concedes 93.2 points per 100 possessions (228th in college basketball).
In 2022-23 the Bulldogs are scoring 2.1 fewer points per game at home (63.4) than on the road (65.5).
Colorado State Key Players to Watch
The Rams leader in points and assists is Isaiah Stevens, who puts up 17.9 points per game to go with 6.8 assists.
Colorado State’s best rebounder is John Tonje, who averages 4.8 boards per game in addition to his 14.3 PPG average.
The Rams get the most three-point shooting production out of Stevens, who knocks down 1.8 threes per game.
Isaiah Rivera and James Moors lead Colorado State on the defensive end, with Rivera leading the team in steals averaging one per game and Moors in blocks averaging 0.7 per contest.
Fresno State Key Players to Watch
Jemarl Baker Jr. racks up 12.8 points per game to be the top scorer for the Bulldogs.
Eduardo Andre puts up a stat line of 5.8 rebounds, 7.9 points and 0.8 assists per game for Fresno State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Isaiah Hill holds the top spot for assists with four per game, adding 12.2 points and 2.4 rebounds per contest.
Baker is reliable from distance and leads the Bulldogs with two made threes per game.
Fresno State’s leader in steals is Hill with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Andre with 1.5 per game.
Colorado State vs. Fresno State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Colorado State (-3.5)
- Pick OU:
Colorado State 70, Fresno State 66
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How to Bet on Colorado State vs. Fresno State
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