Michigan vs. Rutgers Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 8 seed Michigan Wolverines (17-14, 11-9 Big Ten) are favored by 3 points when they square off the No. 9 seed Rutgers Scarlet Knights (18-13, 10-10 Big Ten) in the Big Ten Tournament Thursday at United Center, tipping off at 12:00 PM on Big Ten Network. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Big Ten championship. The matchup has an over/under set at 132.5 points.
Michigan vs. Rutgers Odds
- Michigan odds to win: -150
- Rutgers odds to win: +130
- Spread: Michigan (-3)
- Total: 132.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: Big Ten Network
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Michigan vs. Rutgers?
Michigan and Rutgers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 3-point favorites this season, Michigan is 8-7 against the spread.
In games it has played as at least a 3-point underdog this season, Rutgers is 4-5 against the spread.
Between them, these two teams average 9.5 more points per game (142) than this matchup’s total (132.5).
Michigan and Rutgers have seen their opponents average a combined 2.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 132.5 set for this matchup.
Michigan’s average point total in matchups this year is 143.5, 11.0 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average total in Scarlet Knights games this year is 4.0 fewer points than the point total of 132.5 in this outing.
The Wolverines are 17-13-1 against the spread this season.
The Scarlet Knights have gone 18-13-0 ATS this season.
Michigan Stats & Insights
Michigan averages 73.8 points per game (127th in college basketball) while allowing 69.6 per contest (160th in college basketball). It has a +130 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 4.2 points per game.
The 34.2 rebounds per game Michigan averages rank 50th in college basketball, and are 1.7 more than the 32.5 its opponents grab per contest.
The Wolverines connect on 7.7 three-pointers per game (139th in college basketball), 1.1 more than their opponents (6.6).
Michigan ranks 118th in college basketball with 96.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 151st in college basketball defensively with 90.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Wolverines put up 75.8 points per game when playing at home, compared to 69.1 points per game in road games, a difference of 6.7 points per contest.
Rutgers Stats & Insights
Rutgers is outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game, with a +242 scoring differential overall. It puts up 68.2 points per game (271st in college basketball) and gives up 60.4 per contest (seventh in college basketball).
Rutgers wins the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. It records 34.4 rebounds per game (44th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.3.
Rutgers makes 5.7 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents.
Rutgers records 90.4 points per 100 possessions (266th in college basketball), while giving up 80.1 points per 100 possessions (fifth in college basketball).
In 2022-23 the Scarlet Knights are scoring 6.2 more points per game at home (70.5) than on the road (64.3).
Michigan Key Players to Watch
The Wolverines leader in points and rebounds is Hunter Dickinson, who scores 18.2 points and pulls down 9.0 rebounds per game.
Michigan’s best passer is Dug McDaniel, who averages 3.5 assists per game to go with his 8.3 PPG scoring average.
Jett Howard makes more threes per game than any other member of the Wolverines, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.
Kobe Bufkin is Michigan’s leader in steals, averaging 1.3 steals per game, while Dickinson leads them in blocks with 1.7 per contest.
Rutgers Key Players to Watch
Clifford Omoruyi puts up 13.5 points and 9.8 rebounds per game for the Scarlet Knights, making him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.
Rutgers’ assist leader is Paul Mulcahy with 4.9 per game. He also records 8.2 points per game and tacks on 3.6 rebounds per game.
Cam Spencer averages 2.0 three-pointers per game, the most on the Scarlet Knights.
Caleb McConnell (2.6 steals per game) is the steal leader for Rutgers while Omoruyi (2.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Michigan vs. Rutgers Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Rutgers (+3)
- Pick OU:
Over (132.5)
- Prediction:
Rutgers 69, Michigan 67
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How to Bet on Michigan vs. Rutgers
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