Nevada vs. San Jose State MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 4 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-9, 12-6 MWC) and the No. 5 seed San Jose State Spartans (19-12, 10-8 MWC) square off in the MWC Tournament Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 5:30 PM on CBS Sports Network. Nevada is favored by 4 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is set at 130.
Nevada vs. San Jose State Odds
- Nevada odds to win: -184
- San Jose State odds to win: +157
- Spread: Nevada (-4)
- Total: 130
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 5:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
Who Will Win Nevada vs. San Jose State?
Nevada and San Jose State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Nevada has an 8-3 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.
San Jose State is 8-5 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this year.
The Wolf Pack and the Spartans combine to average 10.2 more points per game than the total of 130 set for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 132.8 points per game, 2.8 more than the over/under in this game.
The average over/under Nevada has had in its matchups this year is 8.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under in Spartans games this year is 4.1 more points than the point total of 130 in this outing.
The Wolf Pack have gone 19-11-0 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Spartans have compiled a 20-10-0 record against the spread.
Nevada Stats & Insights
Nevada has a +188 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.1 points per game. It is putting up 72.5 points per game to rank 163rd in college basketball and is giving up 66.4 per contest to rank 72nd in college basketball.
Nevada ranks 252nd in the nation at 30.6 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.9 its opponents average.
The Wolf Pack make 7.1 three-pointers per game (212th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.7 on average.
Nevada ranks 58th in college basketball with 98.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 145th in college basketball defensively with 90.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Wolf Pack are averaging 76.9 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 66.8 points per contest.
San Jose State Stats & Insights
San Jose State outscores opponents by 1.3 points per game (posting 67.7 points per game, 284th in college basketball, and allowing 66.4 per outing, 72nd in college basketball) and has a +40 scoring differential.
San Jose State records 34.8 rebounds per game (37th in college basketball) while conceding 26.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.3 boards per game.
San Jose State connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (139th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9. It shoots 33% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.6%.
San Jose State ranks 187th in college basketball averaging 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 195th, allowing 92 points per 100 possessions.
The Spartans average 70.1 points per game at home, and 65.1 away.
Nevada Key Players to Watch
The Wolf Pack scoring leader is Jarod Lucas, who averages 16.9 per contest to go with 2.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists.
Darrion Williams leads Nevada in rebounding, averaging 7.4 per game, while Kenan Blackshear leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.6 in each contest.
The Wolf Pack get the most three-point shooting production out of Lucas, who knocks down 2.5 threes per game.
Blackshear and Tre Coleman lead Nevada on the defensive end, with Blackshear leading the team in steals averaging 1.6 per game and Coleman in blocks averaging 0.9 per contest.
San Jose State Key Players to Watch
The Spartans’ Omari Moore racks up enough points (17.5 per game) and assists (4.7 per game) to top the squad’s leaderboards.
Sage Tolbert’s stat line of 7.3 rebounds, 7.9 points and 0.9 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the San Jose State rebounding leaderboard.
Moore is consistent from deep and leads the Spartans with 1.9 made threes per game.
San Jose State’s leader in steals is Moore with 0.8 per game, and its leader in blocks is Ibrahima Diallo with 1.8 per game.
Nevada vs. San Jose State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Nevada (-4)
- Pick OU:
Over (130)
- Prediction:
Nevada 71, San Jose State 65
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How to Bet on Nevada vs. San Jose State
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