New Mexico vs. Wyoming MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 8, 2023
The No. 11 seed Wyoming Cowboys (9-21, 4-14 MWC) are 9-point underdogs in their MWC Tournament matchup against the No. 6 seed New Mexico Lobos (21-10, 8-10 MWC) on Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 7:00 PM on MW Network. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 147.5 in the matchup.
New Mexico vs. Wyoming Odds
- New Mexico odds to win: -408
- Wyoming odds to win: +314
- Spread: New Mexico (-9)
- Total: 147.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: MW Network
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
Who Will Win New Mexico vs. Wyoming?
New Mexico and Wyoming Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
New Mexico has a 5-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 9 points or more.
When it has played as at least a 9-point underdog this season, Wyoming is 2-2 against the spread.
The Lobos and the Cowboys combine to average 2.6 more points per game than the total of 147.5 set for this matchup.
New Mexico and Wyoming have seen their opponents average a combined 2.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 147.5 set for this game.
New Mexico’s average point total in outings this year is 154.6, 7.1 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average total in Cowboys games this year is seven fewer points than the point total of 147.5 in this outing.
The Lobos are 15-13-2 against the spread this season.
The Cowboys have gone 10-18-1 ATS this season.
New Mexico Stats & Insights
New Mexico’s +242 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 81.2 points per game (13th in college basketball) while giving up 73.4 per contest (277th in college basketball).
New Mexico records 33.6 rebounds per game (68th in college basketball) while conceding 31 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.6 boards per game.
The Lobos knock down 5.9 three-pointers per game (320th in college basketball) at a 36.3% rate (68th in college basketball), compared to the 7.8 per outing their opponents make while shooting 32.7% from beyond the arc.
New Mexico scores 101.2 points per 100 possessions (22nd in college basketball), while giving up 91.4 points per 100 possessions (173rd in college basketball).
The Lobos are posting 83 points per game this year at home, which is 3.6 more points than they’re averaging in road games (79.4).
Wyoming Stats & Insights
Wyoming’s -79 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 68.9 points per game (251st in college basketball) while allowing 71.6 per contest (226th in college basketball).
Wyoming ranks 315th in the nation at 29 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 29.8 its opponents average.
Wyoming connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (55th in college basketball) at a 34.9% rate (143rd in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 its opponents make, shooting 36.6% from deep.
Wyoming ranks 148th in college basketball averaging 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 340th, allowing 98.5 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Cowboys average 74.5 points per game. Away, they average 64.4.
New Mexico Key Players to Watch
The Lobos scoring leader is Jamal Mashburn Jr., who averages 19.5 per contest to go with 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
Morris Udeze leads New Mexico in rebounding, averaging 9.2 per game, while Jaelen House leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.7 in each contest.
House makes more threes per game than any other member of the Lobos, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.8 per contest.
The New Mexico steals leader is House, who averages 2.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Udeze, who compiles 0.9 rejections per contest.
Wyoming Key Players to Watch
Hunter Maldonado’s points (14.8 per game) and assists (4.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Cowboys’ leaderboards.
Hunter Thompson is at the top of the Wyoming rebounding leaderboard with 5.4 rebounds per game. He also racks up 6.8 points and adds 0.9 assists per game.
Xavier Dusell is the top shooter from distance for the Cowboys, hitting 1.9 threes per game.
Wyoming’s leader in steals is Maldonado with 1.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is Thompson with 0.5 per game.
New Mexico vs. Wyoming Prediction
- Pick ATS:
New Mexico (-9)
- Pick OU:
Under (147.5)
- Prediction:
New Mexico 78, Wyoming 69
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How to Bet on New Mexico vs. Wyoming
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