TCU vs. Kansas State Big 12 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

The No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (20-11, 9-9 Big 12) and the No. 3 seed Kansas State Wildcats (23-8, 11-7 Big 12) will look to advance in the Big 12 tournament on Thursday as they meet in the conference tournament at 9:30 PM on ESPN2. TCU is listed as a 2.5-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 147.5 for the matchup.

TCU vs. Kansas State Odds

• TCU odds to win: -141
• Kansas State odds to win: +119
• Spread: TCU (-2.5)
• Total: 147.5

TCU vs. Kansas State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
• Time: 9:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Where: Kansas City, Missouri
• Venue: T-Mobile Center

Who Will Win TCU vs. Kansas State?

TCU and Kansas State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

TCU is 8-9 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.

When it has played as at least a 2.5-point underdog this season, Kansas State is 4-4 against the spread.

The Horned Frogs and the Wildcats combine to average 3.8 more points per game than the total of 147.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 136.7 points per game, 10.8 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.

The average point total for TCU’s games this year is 4.0 fewer points than the over/under of 147.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for the Wildcats this season is 3.0 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Horned Frogs are 15-16-0 ATS this season.

The Wildcats have a 21-10-0 record against the spread this season.

TCU Stats & Insights

TCU outscores opponents by 7.5 points per game (scoring 75.5 per game to rank 90th in college basketball while allowing 68.0 per outing to rank 119th in college basketball) and has a +233 scoring differential overall.

TCU ranks 94th in the nation at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.7 more than the 31.5 its opponents average.

The Horned Frogs hit 1.1 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.2 (345th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.3.

TCU scores 94.2 points per 100 possessions (170th in college basketball), while allowing 84.8 points per 100 possessions (31st in college basketball).

The Horned Frogs post 77.9 points per game when playing at home, compared to 72.4 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 5.5 points per contest.

Kansas State Stats & Insights

Kansas State’s +220 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.8 points per game (83rd in college basketball) while allowing 68.7 per contest (137th in college basketball).

Kansas State wins the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It collects 32.3 rebounds per game, 144th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.2.

Kansas State knocks down 7.1 three-pointers per game (212th in college basketball) at a 34.5% rate (167th in college basketball), compared to the 6.2 its opponents make, shooting 29.5% from deep.

Kansas State puts up 94.8 points per 100 possessions (155th in college basketball), while conceding 85.9 points per 100 possessions (52nd in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Wildcats are averaging 1.7 fewer points per game at home (75.0) than on the road (76.7).

TCU Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Horned Frogs this season is Mike Miles, who averages 17.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game.

Emanuel Miller is TCU’s leading rebounder, grabbing 6.5 per game, while Damion Baugh is its best passer, distributing 6.0 assists in each contest.

The Horned Frogs get the most three-point shooting production out of Miles, who knocks down 1.2 threes per game.

The TCU steals leader is Baugh, who averages 1.9 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Charles O’Bannon Jr., who compiles 1.0 block per contest.

Kansas State Key Players to Watch

Keyontae Johnson has the top spot on the Wildcats leaderboards for both scoring and rebounding with 17.8 points and 7.0 rebounds per game.

Markquis Nowell notches more assists than any other Kansas State teammate with 7.7 per game. He also scores 17.0 points and grabs 3.5 rebounds per game.

Nowell is consistent from distance and leads the Wildcats with 2.4 made threes per game.

Kansas State’s leader in steals is Nowell (2.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Nae’Qwan Tomlin (0.9 per game).

TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Kansas State (+2.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (147.5)
  

• Prediction:
  TCU 73, Kansas State 72

How to Bet on TCU vs. Kansas State

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