Toledo vs. Miami (OH) MAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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Toledo vs. Miami (OH) MAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 1 seed Toledo Rockets (25-6, 16-2 MAC) and the No. 8 seed Miami (OH) RedHawks (12-19, 6-12 MAC) face off in the MAC Tournament Thursday at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, beginning at 11:00 AM on ESPN+. Toledo is favored by 13.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total for the matchup is set at 155.5.

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Odds

  • Toledo odds to win: -1032
  • Miami (OH) odds to win: +665
  • Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Where: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Who Will Win Toledo vs. Miami (OH)?

Toledo and Miami (OH) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Toledo is 5-3 against the spread when favored by 13.5 points or more this season.

Miami (OH) is 1-3 against the spread when an underdog by 13.5 points or more this season.

The Rockets and the RedHawks combine to average 3.8 more points per game than the total of 155.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 150.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the point total for this matchup.

The average over/under Toledo has had in its matchups this year is 6.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under in RedHawks games this season is 7.9 fewer points than the point total of 155.5 for this outing.

The Rockets are 19-11-0 ATS this season.

The RedHawks are 14-14-0 against the spread this season.

Toledo Stats & Insights

Toledo outscores opponents by 9.6 points per game (scoring 85.7 per game to rank second in college basketball while allowing 76.1 per contest to rank 331st in college basketball) and has a +300 scoring differential overall.

Toledo ranks 220th in the nation at 31.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.1 its opponents average.

The Rockets make 8.8 three-pointers per game (43rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.3. They shoot 40.5% from deep while their opponents hit 36.2% from long range.

Toledo ranks second in college basketball by averaging 107.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 289th in college basketball, allowing 95.7 points per 100 possessions.

The Rockets are putting up 90.5 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 8.2 more points than they’re averaging on the road (82.3).

Miami (OH) Stats & Insights

Miami (OH) scores 73.6 points per game (133rd in college basketball) and concedes 74.0 (294th in college basketball) for a -12 scoring differential overall.

Miami (OH) falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.9 boards. It records 28.9 rebounds per game (320th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.8.

Miami (OH) connects on 7.9 three-pointers per game (116th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1. It shoots 34.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.4%.

Miami (OH) ranks 143rd in college basketball with 95.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 287th defensively with 95.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The RedHawks are putting up more points at home (78.1 per game) than away (68.3).

Toledo Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Rockets is Rayj Dennis, who scores 19.4 points and dishes out 5.8 assists per game.

Setric Millner Jr. leads Toledo in rebounding, pulling down 5.8 rebounds per game while also scoring 15.9 points a contest.

Dante Maddox Jr. makes more threes per game than any other member of the Rockets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.8 per contest.

Dennis is Toledo’s leader in steals, averaging 1.5 steals per game, while JT Shumate leads them in blocks with 1.1 per contest.

Miami (OH) Key Players to Watch

Mekhi Lairy’s points (17.4 per game) and assists (4.0 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the RedHawks’ leaderboards.

Morgan Safford’s stat line of 5.8 rebounds, 15.1 points and 2.5 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Miami (OH) rebounding leaderboard.

Lairy is the most prolific from deep for the RedHawks, hitting 1.9 threes per game.

Safford (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Miami (OH) while Anderson Mirambeaux (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Pick Em

  • Pick OU:

    Under (155.5)

  • Prediction:
    Toledo 84, Miami (OH) 71
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How to Bet on Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.