UConn vs. Providence Big East Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

The No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (24-7, 13-7 Big East) are favored by 6 points when they play the No. 5 seed Providence Friars (21-10, 13-7 Big East) in the Big East Tournament Thursday at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 2:30 PM on Fox Sports 1. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Big East championship. The matchup has an over/under of 143.5.

UConn vs. Providence Odds

• UConn odds to win: -291
• Providence odds to win: +236
• Spread: UConn (-6)
• Total: 143.5

UConn vs. Providence Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
• Time: 2:30 PM ET
• TV: Fox Sports 1
• Where: New York City, New York
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Who Will Win UConn vs. Providence?

UConn and Providence Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 6-point favorites this season, UConn is 12-7 against the spread.

In games it has played as at least a 6-point underdog this season, Providence is 1-3 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 14.0 more points per game (157.5) than this game’s over/under of 143.5 points.

UConn and Providence have seen their opponents average a combined 7.4 fewer points per game than the point total of 143.5 set in this matchup.

The average over/under UConn has had in its matchups this season is 0.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under for Friars games this year is 6.2 more points than the point total of 143.5 for this outing.

The Huskies have a 19-11-0 record against the spread this season.

The Friars’ ATS record is 18-13-0 this year.

UConn Stats & Insights

UConn averages 79 points per game (29th in college basketball) while allowing 64.8 per outing (40th in college basketball). It has a +438 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 14.2 points per game.

UConn wins the rebound battle by 9.6 boards on average. It collects 36.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 26.5 per outing.

The Huskies hit 4.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.9 (37th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 4.7.

UConn ranks 24th in college basketball by averaging 101.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 13th in college basketball, allowing 83 points per 100 possessions.

The Huskies are scoring 83.3 points per game at home. In away games, they are averaging 70.1 points per contest.

Providence Stats & Insights

Providence is outscoring opponents by 7.2 points per game, with a +224 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.5 points per game (37th in college basketball) and allows 71.3 per outing (217th in college basketball).

Providence pulls down 35.5 rebounds per game (24th in college basketball) while conceding 29.2 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.3 boards per game.

Providence makes 6.7 three-pointers per game (258th in college basketball) at a 35.5% rate (107th in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 its opponents make, shooting 33.5% from beyond the arc.

Providence averages 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (42nd in college basketball), and gives up 90.5 points per 100 possessions (149th in college basketball).

The Friars are scoring more points at home (82.9 per game) than on the road (73.9).

UConn Key Players to Watch

The Huskies leader in points and rebounds is Adama Sanogo, who scores 16.9 points and pulls down 7.2 rebounds per game.

Tristen Newton leads UConn in assists, averaging 4.5 per game while also scoring 10.1 points per contest.

Jordan Hawkins makes more threes per game than any other member of the Huskies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.

Newton is UConn’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Donovan Clingan leads them in blocks with 1.8 per contest.

Providence Key Players to Watch

The Friars’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Bryce Hopkins with 16.1 points and 8.5 rebounds per game.

Jared Bynum dishes out more assists than any other Providence player with 4.4 per game. He also averages 10.1 points and pulls down 2.5 rebounds per game.

Noah Locke makes 2.1 three-pointers per game, the most on the Friars.

Providence’s leader in steals is Devin Carter (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Clifton Moore (1.3 per game).

UConn vs. Providence Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  UConn (-6)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (143.5)
  

• Prediction:
  UConn 77, Providence 70

How to Bet on UConn vs. Providence

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