UCSB vs. Cal Poly Big West Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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UCSB vs. Cal Poly Big West Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 2 seed UCSB Gauchos (24-7, 15-5 Big West) are favored by 10.5 points in the Big West Tournament over the No. 10 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (8-24, 1-18 Big West). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 9:00 PM live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under is set at 124 for the matchup.

UCSB vs. Cal Poly Odds

  • UCSB odds to win: -596
  • Cal Poly odds to win: +433
  • Spread: UCSB (-10.5)
  • Total: 124

UCSB vs. Cal Poly Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Where: Henderson, Nevada
  • Venue: Dollar Loan Center

Who Will Win UCSB vs. Cal Poly?

UCSB and Cal Poly Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

UCSB is 4-4 against the spread when favored by 10.5 points or more this season.

Cal Poly has a 6-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season.

The Gauchos and the Mustangs combine to average 8.8 more points per game than the over/under of 124 set for this matchup.

UCSB and Cal Poly have seen its opponents average a combined 7.3 more points per game than the point total of 124 set for this outing.

The average total UCSB has had set in matchups this year is 13.2 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Mustangs this year is 2.9 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Gauchos have an 18-10-1 record against the spread this season.

The Mustangs are 17-13-0 against the spread this year.

UCSB Stats & Insights

UCSB averages 71.8 points per game (181st in college basketball) while giving up 65.4 per outing (50th in college basketball). It has a +198 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 6.4 points per game.

UCSB grabs 29.5 rebounds per game (299th in college basketball) while allowing 26.3 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.2 boards per game.

The Gauchos make 5.5 three-pointers per game (339th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.0 on average.

UCSB ranks 45th in college basketball by averaging 99.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 147th in college basketball, allowing 90.6 points per 100 possessions.

The Gauchos are putting up 75.3 points per game this season in home games, which is 5.7 more points than they’re averaging away from home (69.6).

Cal Poly Stats & Insights

Cal Poly’s -158 scoring differential (being outscored by 4.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 61.0 points per game (358th in college basketball) while giving up 65.9 per outing (62nd in college basketball).

The 28.9 rebounds per game Cal Poly accumulates rank 320th in college basketball. Their opponents grab 28.5.

Cal Poly makes 5.6 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball) at a 29.9% rate (349th in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 its opponents make, shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc.

Cal Poly’s 84.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 344th in college basketball, and the 91.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 187th in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Mustangs are averaging 6.4 more points per game at home (63.0) than away (56.6).

UCSB Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Gauchos is Ajay Mitchell, who scores 15.7 points and dishes out 5.2 assists per game.

UCSB’s best rebounder is Andre Kelly, who averages 6.5 boards per game in addition to his 9.7 PPG average.

Miles Norris makes more threes per game than any other member of the Gauchos, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.7 per contest.

Mitchell and Norris lead UCSB on the defensive end, with Mitchell leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and Norris in blocks averaging 0.9 per contest.

Cal Poly Key Players to Watch

Brantly Stevenson puts up 11.0 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mustangs.

Cal Poly’s leader in rebounds is Trevon Taylor with 4.8 per game, and its leader in assists is Camren Pierce with 2.3 per game.

Chance Hunter is the top shooter from distance for the Mustangs, hitting 1.3 threes per game.

Cal Poly’s leader in steals is Kobe Sanders (1.2 per game), and its leader in blocks is Alimamy Koroma (0.9 per game).

UCSB vs. Cal Poly Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    UCSB (-10.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (124)

  • Prediction:
    UCSB 71, Cal Poly 60
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How to Bet on UCSB vs. Cal Poly

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.