UNLV vs. Air Force MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 8, 2023

The No. 7 seed UNLV Rebels (18-12, 7-11 MWC) play the No. 10 seed Air Force Falcons (14-17, 5-13 MWC) as 5.5-point favorites in the MWC Tournament Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 4:30 PM on MW Network. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is set at 134.

UNLV vs. Air Force Odds

• UNLV odds to win: -254
• Air Force odds to win: +206
• Spread: UNLV (-5.5)
• Total: 134

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Game Time and Information

• Date: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV: MW Network
• Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Venue: Thomas & Mack Center

Who Will Win UNLV vs. Air Force?

UNLV and Air Force Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

UNLV has a 3-7-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.

In games this season in which it was an underdog by 5.5 points or more, Air Force has a 7-4 record against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 6.9 more points per game (140.9) than this matchup’s total (134).

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.2 more points per game, 136.2, than this matchup’s total of 134 points.

The average point total in UNLV’s games this year is 9.5 more points than the over/under of 134 in this matchup.

The average point total for the Falcons this year is 0.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Rebels are 15-13-1 ATS this season.

The Falcons’ ATS record is 17-13-1 this season.

UNLV Stats & Insights

UNLV outscores opponents by 4.6 points per game (scoring 74.1 per game to rank 122nd in college basketball while allowing 69.5 per contest to rank 157th in college basketball) and has a +138 scoring differential overall.

UNLV comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It is collecting 31.1 rebounds per game (227th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.3 per contest.

The Rebels make 8 three-pointers per game (103rd in college basketball), while their opponents have made 8.7 on average.

UNLV’s 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 190th in college basketball, and the 87.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 77th in college basketball.

The Rebels put up 74.9 points per game when playing at home, compared to 74.6 points per game in road games, a difference of 0.3 points per contest.

Air Force Stats & Insights

Air Force puts up 66.8 points per game (304th in college basketball) while giving up 66.7 per contest (77th in college basketball). It has a +4 scoring differential.

Air Force loses the rebound battle by 3.2 boards on average. It records 26.9 rebounds per game, 361st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.1.

Air Force hits 8.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball) at a 35.6% rate (103rd in college basketball), compared to the 5.1 per game its opponents make, at a 29% rate.

Air Force scores 95.8 points per 100 possessions (126th in college basketball), while giving up 95.6 points per 100 possessions (287th in college basketball).

The Falcons average 69.6 points per game at home, and 62.5 away.

UNLV Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Rebels is Elijah Harkless, who scores 18.6 points and distributes 3.2 assists per game.

Luis Rodriguez leads UNLV in rebounding, grabbing 5.6 boards per game while also scoring 10.9 points a contest.

Justin Webster leads the Rebels in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.

The UNLV steals leader is Rodriguez, who averages 1.8 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is David Muoka, who compiles 1.4 rejections per contest.

Air Force Key Players to Watch

Jake Heidbreder is the top scorer for the Falcons with 14.9 points per game. He also adds 3.1 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game to his scoring output.

Rytis Petraitis has a stat line of 6.1 rebounds, 10.2 points and 2.7 assists per game for Air Force to take the top rebound spot on the team. Ethan Taylor holds the top spot for assists with 3.2 per game, adding 7.3 points and 3.4 rebounds per matchup.

Heidbreder is the top scorer from distance for the Falcons, hitting 2.3 threes per game.

Petraitis (one steal per game) is the steal leader for Air Force while Corbin Green (1.4 blocks per game) is the block leader.

UNLV vs. Air Force Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Air Force (+5.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (134)
  

• Prediction:
  UNLV 71, Air Force 67

How to Bet on UNLV vs. Air Force

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