Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State WAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 2 seed Utah Valley Wolverines (24-7, 15-3 WAC) are favored by 6.5 points in the WAC Tournament over the No. 7 seed Tarleton State Texans (17-15, 9-9 WAC). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 9:00 PM live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 137 for the matchup.
Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds
- Utah Valley odds to win: -281
- Tarleton State odds to win: +227
- Spread: Utah Valley (-6.5)
- Total: 137
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Paradise, Nevada
- Venue: Orleans Arena
Who Will Win Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State?
Utah Valley and Tarleton State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Utah Valley has a 7-3 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.
Tarleton State has a 3-6 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 6.5 points or more.
The Wolverines and Texans average 12.1 more points between them than the over/under of 137 for this game.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 135.2 points per game, 1.8 fewer than the point total for this game.
The average over/under Utah Valley has had set in games this season is 7.4 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under for Texans games this season is 3.1 more points than the point total of 137 in this outing.
The Wolverines have gone 20-8-0 ATS this season.
The Texans have a 13-15-0 record against the spread this season.
Utah Valley Stats & Insights
Utah Valley’s +282 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.7 points per game (60th in college basketball) while giving up 67.6 per contest (107th in college basketball).
Utah Valley pulls down 37.6 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 33.7 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.9 boards per game.
The Wolverines connect on 6.5 three-pointers per game (278th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.6. They shoot 32.3% from deep while their opponents hit 31% from long range.
Utah Valley ranks 185th in college basketball with 93.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 10th in college basketball defensively with 82.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Wolverines are putting up 84 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 70.1 points per contest.
Tarleton State Stats & Insights
Tarleton State outscores opponents by 4.8 points per game (posting 72.4 points per game, 167th in college basketball, and allowing 67.6 per contest, 107th in college basketball) and has a +154 scoring differential.
Tarleton State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.8 boards. It records 28 rebounds per game (344th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.8.
Tarleton State makes 4.9 three-pointers per game (353rd in college basketball), 2.9 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 34.1% from beyond the arc (185th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 35.3%.
Tarleton State ranks 152nd in college basketball with 94.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 97th defensively with 88.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Texans are averaging 17.2 more points per game at home (80.8) than on the road (63.6).
Utah Valley Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Wolverines this season is Le’Tre Darthard, who averages 14.4 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game.
Aziz Bandaogo leads Utah Valley in rebounding, averaging 10.5 per game, while Trey Woodbury leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 4.4 in each contest.
Darthard leads the Wolverines in three-point shooting, making an average of two shots per game from beyond the arc.
Justin Harmon and Bandaogo lead Utah Valley on the defensive end, with Harmon leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Bandaogo in blocks averaging 2.8 per contest.
Tarleton State Key Players to Watch
Lue Williams is the top scorer for the Texans with 10.8 points per game. He also adds 3.1 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game to his stats.
Jakorie Smith has a stat line of 3.9 rebounds, 9.5 points and 1.6 assists per game for Tarleton State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Shakur Daniel has the top spot for assists with three per game, adding 7.9 points and 3.2 rebounds per contest.
Williams is dependable from distance and leads the Texans with 1.4 made threes per game.
Tarleton State’s leader in steals is Shamir Bogues (two per game), and its leader in blocks is Kiandre Gaddy (0.8 per game).
Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Utah Valley (-6.5)
- Pick OU:
Utah Valley 74, Tarleton State 67
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How to Bet on Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State
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