Boise State vs. UNLV MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

The No. 2 seed Boise State Broncos (23-8, 13-5 MWC) are 5.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 7 seed UNLV Rebels (19-12, 7-11 MWC) in the MWC Tournament Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 9:00 PM on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has a point total of 137.

Boise State vs. UNLV Odds

• Boise State odds to win: -230
• UNLV odds to win: +188
• Spread: Boise State (-5.5)
• Total: 137

Boise State vs. UNLV Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: CBS Sports Network
• Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Venue: Thomas & Mack Center

Who Will Win Boise State vs. UNLV?

Boise State and UNLV Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, Boise State is 5-8 against the spread.

UNLV has a 4-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 5.5 points or more.

These teams average 146.3 points per game combined, 9.3 more than the total of 137.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.8 fewer points per game (133.2) than this matchup’s over/under of 137 points.

The average point total for Boise State’s games this season is 1.2 fewer points than the over/under of 137 in this matchup.

Rebels games this season have averaged a total of 143.7 points, 6.7 more than the point total in this matchup.

The Broncos have a 16-13-1 record against the spread this season.

The Rebels are 16-13-1 ATS this year.

Boise State Stats & Insights

Boise State’s +260 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 72.1 points per game (169th in college basketball) while giving up 63.7 per outing (29th in college basketball).

Boise State pulls down 33.4 rebounds per game (83rd in college basketball) while conceding 29.1 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.3 boards per game.

The Broncos knock down 1.6 more threes per game than the opposition, 7.8 (126th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.2.

Boise State averages 97.1 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball), while allowing 85.8 points per 100 possessions (49th in college basketball).

In home games, the Broncos are scoring 5.7 more points per game (75.4) than they are on the road (69.7).

UNLV Stats & Insights

UNLV outscores opponents by 4.7 points per game (posting 74.2 points per game, 122nd in college basketball, and giving up 69.5 per outing, 157th in college basketball) and has a +146 scoring differential.

UNLV loses the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It collects 31.2 rebounds per game, 220th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.3.

UNLV connects on 8.0 three-pointers per game (103rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.7. It shoots 34.5% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.3%.

UNLV ranks 187th in college basketball with 93.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 73rd defensively with 87.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Rebels are averaging 0.3 more points per game at home (74.9) than on the road (74.6).

Boise State Key Players to Watch

The leader in rebounds and assists for the Broncos is Marcus Shaver Jr., who pulls down 5.9 boards and distributes 3.8 assists per game to go with a 13.3 PPG scoring average.

Max Rice leads Boise State in scoring, averaging 14.4 per game to go with 4.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists.

The Broncos get the most three-point shooting production out of Rice, who makes 2.2 threes per game.

Shaver and Naje Smith lead Boise State on the defensive end, with Shaver leading the team in steals averaging 1.6 per game and Smith in blocks averaging 1.1 per contest.

UNLV Key Players to Watch

Elijah Harkless racks up 19.1 points and adds 3.3 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Rebels’ leaderboards in those statistics.

Luis Rodriguez is at the top of the UNLV rebounding leaderboard with 5.8 rebounds per game. He also scores 10.9 points and adds 1.2 assists per game.

Justin Webster is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Rebels, hitting 1.7 threes per game.

UNLV’s leader in steals is Rodriguez with 1.7 per game, and its leader in blocks is David Muoka with 1.4 per game.

Boise State vs. UNLV Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Boise State (-5.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (137)
  

• Prediction:
  Boise State 73, UNLV 66

How to Bet on Boise State vs. UNLV

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