Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) A-10 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 2 seed Dayton Flyers (20-11, 12-6 A-10) face off against the No. 10 seed Saint Joseph’s (PA) Hawks (16-16, 8-10 A-10) as 10.5-point favorites in the A-10 Tournament Thursday at Barclays Center, tipping off at 5:00 PM on USA. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 135 points.
Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Odds
- Dayton odds to win: -595
- Saint Joseph’s (PA) odds to win: +434
- Spread: Dayton (-10.5)
- Total: 135
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- TV: USA
- Where: Brooklyn, New York
- Venue: Barclays Center
Who Will Win Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA)?
Dayton and Saint Joseph’s (PA) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Dayton is 6-6 against the spread when favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
Saint Joseph’s (PA) has a 1-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 6.9 more points per game, 141.9, than this matchup’s total of 135 points.
Dayton and Saint Joseph’s (PA) have seen their opponents average a combined 1.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 135 set for this outing.
Dayton’s average point total in matchups this season is 129.8, 5.2 points below the over/under in this game.
The average over/under for Hawks games this season is 10.7 more points than the point total of 135 in this outing.
So far this season, the Flyers have put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread.
The Hawks have gone 19-12-1 ATS this season.
Dayton Stats & Insights
Dayton outscores opponents by 8.2 points per game (scoring 69 per game to rank 250th in college basketball while allowing 60.8 per contest to rank 11th in college basketball) and has a +255 scoring differential overall.
Dayton ranks 112th in the country at 32.8 rebounds per game. That’s 5.2 more than the 27.6 its opponents average.
The Flyers knock down 6.7 three-pointers per game (259th in college basketball) at a 34.9% rate (145th in college basketball), compared to the 6.2 their opponents make while shooting 28.8% from beyond the arc.
Dayton ranks 126th in college basketball with 95.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 24th in college basketball defensively with 84.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Flyers are averaging 73.9 points per game at home. In away games, they are averaging 64.5 points per contest.
Saint Joseph’s (PA) Stats & Insights
Saint Joseph’s (PA) puts up 72.9 points per game (153rd in college basketball) while giving up 72.8 per outing (263rd in college basketball). It has a +5 scoring differential.
Saint Joseph’s (PA) loses the rebound battle by 1.6 boards on average. It collects 31.5 rebounds per game, 195th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.1.
Saint Joseph’s (PA) knocks down 8.8 three-pointers per game (44th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.4. It shoots 33.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.2%.
Saint Joseph’s (PA)’s 92.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 210th in college basketball, and the 92.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 212th in college basketball.
The Hawks average 75.8 points per game at home, and 72 away.
Dayton Key Players to Watch
Daron Holmes leads the Flyers in scoring, tallying 18 points per game to go with 7.9 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
Toumani Camara leads Dayton in rebounding, averaging 8.5 per game, while Mike Sharavjamts leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 2.6 in each contest.
The Flyers get the most three-point shooting production out of Koby Brea, who knocks down two threes per game.
The Dayton steals leader is Camara, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Holmes, who compiles 1.7 rejections per contest.
Saint Joseph’s (PA) Key Players to Watch
Erik Reynolds II racks up 19.7 points per game and is the top scorer for the Hawks.
The Saint Joseph’s (PA) leaders in rebounding and assists are Cameron Brown with 5.9 rebounds per game (he also adds 13.6 points and 1.7 assists per game) and Lynn Greer III with 4.1 assists per game (he also tacks on 12.6 points and 5.1 rebounds per game).
Reynolds knocks down 2.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Hawks.
Reynolds (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for Saint Joseph’s (PA) while Kacper Klaczek (one block per game) is the block leader.
Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA) Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Saint Joseph’s (PA) (+10.5)
- Pick OU:
Dayton 73, Saint Joseph’s (PA) 64
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How to Bet on Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s (PA)
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