Duke vs. Pittsburgh ACC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

Social Navigation

Duke vs. Pittsburgh ACC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (23-8, 14-6 ACC) are 5-point favorites in the ACC Tournament when they face off against the No. 5 seed Pittsburgh Panthers (22-10, 14-6 ACC) on Thursday at Greensboro Coliseum, starting at 2:30 PM on ESPN2. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 138.5.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Odds

  • Duke odds to win: -235
  • Pittsburgh odds to win: +192
  • Spread: Duke (-5)
  • Total: 138.5

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Where: Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Venue: Greensboro Coliseum

Who Will Win Duke vs. Pittsburgh?

Duke and Pittsburgh Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Duke has an 8-12 record against the spread this season when favored by 5 points or more.

In games this season in which it was an underdog by 5 points or more, Pittsburgh has a 7-2 record against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 9.6 more points per game (148.1) than this matchup’s total (138.5).

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 133.5 points per game, 5.0 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

The average point total for Duke’s games this season is 2.9 fewer points than the over/under of 138.5 in this matchup.

Panthers games this season have averaged an over/under of 146 points, 7.5 more than the point total in this matchup.

The Blue Devils’ ATS record is 12-19-0 this season.

The Panthers are 22-10-0 against the spread this year.

Duke Stats & Insights

Duke outscores opponents by eight points per game (scoring 71.8 per game to rank 181st in college basketball while giving up 63.8 per contest to rank 30th in college basketball) and has a +248 scoring differential overall.

Duke pulls down 36.3 rebounds per game (10th in college basketball) while allowing 28.1 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.2 boards per game.

The Blue Devils connect on 6.8 three-pointers per game (244th in college basketball) at a 32.9% rate (252nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.2 their opponents make while shooting 30.6% from beyond the arc.

Duke averages 95.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (141st in college basketball), and gives up 84.6 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).

The Blue Devils put up 76.7 points per game in home games, compared to 68 points per game in away games, a difference of 8.7 points per contest.

Pittsburgh Stats & Insights

Pittsburgh is outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game, with a +213 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.3 points per game (73rd in college basketball) and allows 69.7 per outing (163rd in college basketball).

Pittsburgh averages 33.5 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) while conceding 31.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.1 boards per game.

Pittsburgh knocks down 9.3 three-pointers per game (24th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents.

Pittsburgh averages 99.5 points per 100 possessions (48th in college basketball), while conceding 90.8 points per 100 possessions (160th in college basketball).

At home the Panthers are putting up 77.8 points per game, 2.4 more than they are averaging on the road (75.4).

Duke Key Players to Watch

The Blue Devils leader in points and rebounds is Kyle Filipowski, who scores 15 points and grabs 9.2 boards per game.

Jeremy Roach leads Duke in assists, averaging 3.2 per game while also scoring 13.1 points per contest.

Dariq Whitehead makes more threes per game than any other member of the Blue Devils, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.5 per contest.

Filipowski is Duke’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Dereck Lively II leads them in blocks with 2.3 per contest.

Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

Blake Hinson records 15.9 points and 6.4 rebounds per game for the Panthers, making him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.

Pittsburgh’s assist leader is Nelly Cummings with 4.8 per game. He also averages 11.3 points per game and tacks on 2.7 rebounds per game.

Hinson is the most prolific from deep for the Panthers, hitting 2.8 threes per game.

Jamarius Burton (0.9 steals per game) is the steal leader for Pittsburgh while Fede Federiko (1.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Duke vs. Pittsburgh Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Pittsburgh (+5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (138.5)

  • Prediction:
    Duke 72, Pittsburgh 69
FanDuel Sportsbook

First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwtihdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.

21+ and present in Participating states. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.$1000
No Sweat First Bet

How to Bet on Duke vs. Pittsburgh

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

Latest from Bleacher Nation:

Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.