Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky C-USA Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 1 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (28-3, 18-2 C-USA) are favored by 10 points in C-USA Tournament over the No. 8 seed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (17-15, 8-12 C-USA). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 6:30 PM live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points.
Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Odds
- Florida Atlantic odds to win: -587
- Western Kentucky odds to win: +430
- Spread: Florida Atlantic (-10)
- Total: 139.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Frisco, Texas
- Venue: Ford Center at The Star
Who Will Win Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky?
Florida Atlantic and Western Kentucky Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 10-point favorites this season, Florida Atlantic is 7-4 against the spread.
In games it has played as at least a 10-point underdog this year, Western Kentucky is 2-0 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 11.8 more points per game (151.3) than this matchup’s total of 139.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 136.2 points per game, 3.3 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.
The average over/under Florida Atlantic has had in its games this season is 5.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.
Hilltoppers games this year have averaged an over/under of 142.5 points, three more than the point total in this matchup.
The Owls are 19-10-0 against the spread this season.
The Hilltoppers have a 13-16-1 record against the spread this year.
Florida Atlantic Stats & Insights
Florida Atlantic averages 79.3 points per game (27th in college basketball) while allowing 65.7 per outing (57th in college basketball). It has a +421 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 13.6 points per game.
Florida Atlantic ranks 27th in college basketball at 35.2 rebounds per game. That’s 5.4 more than the 29.8 its opponents average.
The Owls make 10.1 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in college basketball) while shooting 37.8% from deep (21st in college basketball). They are making 3.6 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 6.5 per game while shooting 33.3%.
Florida Atlantic ranks 11th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 33rd in college basketball, allowing 84.9 points per 100 possessions.
The Owls are averaging 82.1 points per game at home. On the road, they are averaging 75.9 points per contest.
Western Kentucky Stats & Insights
Western Kentucky is outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game, with a +49 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72 points per game (177th in college basketball) and gives up 70.5 per outing (190th in college basketball).
The 31 rebounds per game Western Kentucky accumulates rank 232nd in college basketball, two fewer than the 33 its opponents collect.
Western Kentucky connects on 1.7 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 7.6 (156th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.3.
Western Kentucky averages 93.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (201st in college basketball), and concedes 91.1 points per 100 possessions (166th in college basketball).
At home the Hilltoppers are putting up 77.1 points per game, 9.3 more than they are averaging on the road (67.8).
Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Owls this season is Johnell Davis, who averages 13.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game.
Vladislav Goldin leads Florida Atlantic in rebounding, averaging 6.5 per game, while Jalen Gaffney leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 2.7 in each contest.
Alijah Martin makes more threes per game than any other member of the Owls, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
Davis and Goldin lead Florida Atlantic on the defensive end, with Davis leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Goldin in blocks averaging 1.1 per contest.
Western Kentucky Key Players to Watch
Dayvion McKnight’s points (16.4 per game) and assists (3.8 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Hilltoppers’ leaderboards.
Jamarion Sharp is at the top of the Western Kentucky rebounding leaderboard with 7.5 rebounds per game. He also racks up 7.6 points and tacks on 0.2 assists per game.
Dontaie Allen is reliable from distance and leads the Hilltoppers with 1.8 made threes per game.
McKnight (1.7 steals per game) is the steal leader for Western Kentucky while Sharp (4.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Florida Atlantic (-10)
- Pick OU:
Over (139.5)
- Prediction:
Florida Atlantic 77, Western Kentucky 66
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How to Bet on Florida Atlantic vs. Western Kentucky
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