Iowa vs. Ohio State Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 5 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (19-12, 11-9 Big Ten) face off against the No. 13 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (14-18, 5-15 Big Ten) as 4-point favorites in the Big Ten Tournament Thursday at United Center, starting at 2:30 PM on Big Ten Network. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 153 points.
Iowa vs. Ohio State Odds
- Iowa odds to win: -193
- Ohio State odds to win: +165
- Spread: Iowa (-4)
- Total: 153
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- TV: Big Ten Network
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Iowa vs. Ohio State?
Iowa and Ohio State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 4 points or more, Iowa has an 11-6-1 record against the spread.
Ohio State has a 2-5 record against the spread in games when it was an underdog by 4 points or more this season.
The Hawkeyes and the Buckeyes combine to average 0.4 more points per game than the over/under of 153 set for this matchup.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 143.5 points per game, 9.5 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
The average over/under Iowa has had in its matchups this season is 2.0 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average total in Buckeyes games this year is 11.2 fewer points than the point total of 153 in this outing.
So far this season, the Hawkeyes have compiled a 17-13-1 record against the spread.
The Buckeyes have a 12-20-0 record against the spread this season.
Iowa Stats & Insights
Iowa’s +190 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 80.6 points per game (17th in college basketball) while giving up 74.5 per contest (302nd in college basketball).
Iowa wins the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. It records 33.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 65th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.2 per contest.
The Hawkeyes hit 8.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball), 1.1 more than their opponents (7.1).
Iowa ranks 21st in college basketball by averaging 101.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 248th in college basketball, allowing 93.7 points per 100 possessions.
In home games, the Hawkeyes are averaging 19.9 more points per game (89.8) than they are in away games (69.9).
Ohio State Stats & Insights
Ohio State puts up 72.8 points per game (156th in college basketball) while giving up 69.0 per contest (143rd in college basketball). It has a +124 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 3.8 points per game.
Ohio State pulls down 33.5 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) while conceding 30.0 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.5 boards per game.
Ohio State knocks down 6.6 three-pointers per game (269th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
Ohio State averages 96.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (113th in college basketball), and concedes 91.3 points per 100 possessions (171st in college basketball).
At home the Buckeyes are scoring 74.7 points per game, 6.6 more than they are averaging on the road (68.1).
Iowa Key Players to Watch
Kris Murray leads the Hawkeyes in scoring and rebounding, tallying 20.5 points and 8.0 rebounds per game.
Iowa’s best passer is Connor McCaffery, who averages 3.8 assists per game to go with his 6.7 PPG scoring average.
Murray leads the Hawkeyes in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.
McCaffery and Murray lead Iowa on the defensive end, with McCaffery leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and Murray in blocks averaging 1.1 per contest.
Ohio State Key Players to Watch
Brice Sensabaugh is the top scorer for the Buckeyes with 16.3 points per game. He also adds 5.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game to his statistics.
Ohio State’s leader in rebounds is Zed Key with 7.5 per game, and its leader in assists is Isaac Likekele with 2.7 per game.
Sensabaugh is consistent from deep and leads the Buckeyes with 1.9 made threes per game.
Ohio State’s leader in steals is Bruce Thornton (0.8 per game), and its leader in blocks is Felix Okpara (1.2 per game).
Iowa vs. Ohio State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Ohio State (+4)
- Pick OU:
Under (153)
- Prediction:
Iowa 75, Ohio State 74
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How to Bet on Iowa vs. Ohio State
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