Saint Louis vs. George Mason A-10 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 5 seed George Mason Patriots (20-12, 11-7 A-10) are 5.5-point underdogs in their A-10 Tournament matchup against the No. 4 seed Saint Louis Billikens (20-11, 12-6 A-10) on Thursday at Barclays Center, tipping off at 2:00 PM on USA. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is 140 for the matchup.
Saint Louis vs. George Mason Odds
- Saint Louis odds to win: -244
- George Mason odds to win: +198
- Spread: Saint Louis (-5.5)
- Total: 140
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- TV: USA
- Where: Brooklyn, New York
- Venue: Barclays Center
Who Will Win Saint Louis vs. George Mason?
Saint Louis and George Mason Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Saint Louis has a 6-9 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.
In games it has played as at least a 5.5-point underdog this season, George Mason is 2-3 against the spread.
The Billikens and Patriots average 4.5 more points between them than the over/under of 140 for this game.
Saint Louis and George Mason have seen their opponents average a combined 2.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 140 set for this outing.
Saint Louis’ average point total in outings this year is 146.4, 6.4 points higher than the over/under in this game.
Patriots games this year have averaged an over/under of 136 points, four fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Billikens have a 13-17-0 record against the spread this season.
The Patriots have an 18-14-0 record against the spread this season.
Saint Louis Stats & Insights
Saint Louis has a +129 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.2 points per game. It is putting up 75.3 points per game to rank 95th in college basketball and is allowing 71.1 per outing to rank 208th in college basketball.
The 35.5 rebounds per game Saint Louis averages rank 24th in the country, and are 4.9 more than the 30.6 its opponents grab per contest.
The Billikens make 6.9 three-pointers per game (234th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.8. They shoot 35.4% from deep while their opponents hit 33.6% from long range.
Saint Louis averages 96.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (108th in college basketball), and gives up 91.2 points per 100 possessions (168th in college basketball).
The Billikens post 78.2 points per game when playing at home, compared to 71.2 points per game away from home, a difference of seven points per contest.
George Mason Stats & Insights
George Mason outscores opponents by 2.4 points per game (posting 69.2 points per game, 243rd in college basketball, and allowing 66.8 per contest, 83rd in college basketball) and has a +76 scoring differential.
George Mason ranks 96th in college basketball at 33.2 rebounds per game. That’s 4.3 more than the 28.9 its opponents average.
George Mason connects on 7.4 three-pointers per game (182nd in college basketball), 1.4 more than its opponents. It shoots 35.3% from beyond the arc (118th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 30%.
George Mason ranks 220th in college basketball with 92.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 112th defensively with 89.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Patriots are scoring more points at home (74.5 per game) than away (64.2).
Saint Louis Key Players to Watch
The Billikens scoring leader is Gibson Jimerson, who averages 14 per contest to go with 3.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists.
Francis Okoro leads Saint Louis in rebounding, averaging 8.7 per game, while Yuri Collins leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 10.1 in each contest.
The Billikens get the most three-point shooting production out of Jimerson, who makes 2.6 threes per game.
Collins and Okoro lead Saint Louis on the defensive end, with Collins leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and Okoro in blocks averaging 1.4 per contest.
George Mason Key Players to Watch
Josh Oduro puts up 15.6 points and 8.1 rebounds per game for the Patriots, enough to make him the leading scorer and rebounder on the squad.
Ronald Polite’s assist statline leads George Mason; he racks up 4.1 assists per game.
Victor Bailey Jr. knocks down 2.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Patriots.
George Mason’s leader in steals is Polite with one per game, and its leader in blocks is Oduro with 0.9 per game.
Saint Louis vs. George Mason Prediction
- Pick ATS:
George Mason (+5.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (140)
- Prediction:
Saint Louis 73, George Mason 68
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How to Bet on Saint Louis vs. George Mason
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