USC vs. Arizona State Pac-12 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 3 seed USC Trojans (22-9, 14-6 Pac-12) are 4-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 6 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (21-11, 11-9 Pac-12) in the Pac-12 Tournament Thursday at T-Mobile Arena, starting at 11:30 PM on ESPN. The over/under for the matchup is 138.
USC vs. Arizona State Odds
- USC odds to win: -196
- Arizona State odds to win: +165
- Spread: USC (-4)
- Total: 138
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 11:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Who Will Win USC vs. Arizona State?
USC and Arizona State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 4 points or more, USC has a 6-9 record against the spread.
Arizona State has a 5-3 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 4 points or more.
These two teams average 143.3 points per game combined, 5.3 more than the total of 138.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 134.2 points per game, 3.8 fewer than the over/under for this game.
The average point total for USC’s games this year is 1.7 more points than the total of 138 in this matchup.
The average total in Sun Devils games this season is 0.3 fewer points than the point total of 138 for this outing.
So far this season, the Trojans have put together a 17-14-0 record against the spread.
The Sun Devils have a 14-18-0 record against the spread this year.
USC Stats & Insights
USC has a +182 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.9 points per game. It is putting up 72.8 points per game to rank 154th in college basketball and is allowing 66.9 per outing to rank 85th in college basketball.
USC averages 32.1 rebounds per game (157th in college basketball) compared to the 32 of its opponents.
The Trojans connect on 6.4 three-pointers per game (286th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.3. They shoot 34.4% from deep while their opponents hit 32.9% from long range.
USC averages 93.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (185th in college basketball), and allows 86.2 points per 100 possessions (58th in college basketball).
The Trojans are putting up 76.2 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 68.2 points per contest.
Arizona State Stats & Insights
Arizona State’s +103 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.5 points per game (203rd in college basketball) while allowing 67.3 per contest (97th in college basketball).
Arizona State loses the rebound battle by 1.4 boards on average. It records 33.3 rebounds per game, 88th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 34.7.
Arizona State hits 7.3 three-pointers per game (192nd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.6 on average.
Arizona State ranks 302nd in college basketball averaging 88.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 26th, allowing 84.4 points per 100 possessions.
The Sun Devils are putting up more points at home (71.1 per game) than on the road (69.5).
USC Key Players to Watch
Drew Peterson leads the Trojans in rebounds and assists. Peterson averages 14.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game.
USC’s leading scorer is Boogie Ellis, who tallies 18.1 points a game in addition to his 3.7 rebounds and three assists.
The Trojans get the most three-point shooting production out of Ellis, who knocks down 2.6 threes per game.
Kobe Johnson is USC’s leader in steals, averaging 2.2 steals per game, while Joshua Morgan leads them in blocks with 2.3 per contest.
Arizona State Key Players to Watch
Desmond Cambridge is at the top of the Sun Devils scoring leaderboard with 13.4 points per game. He also grabs 3.5 rebounds and averages 2.3 assists per game.
Warren Washington has a stat line of 6.9 rebounds, 9.5 points and 1.5 assists per game for Arizona State to take the top rebound spot on the team. Frankie Collins has the top spot for assists with 4.4 per game, adding 10.1 points and 4.3 rebounds per outing.
Cambridge makes 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Sun Devils.
Arizona State’s leader in steals is Cambridge with 1.7 per game, and its leader in blocks is Washington with 1.8 per game.
USC vs. Arizona State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Arizona State (+4)
- Pick OU:
USC 70, Arizona State 68
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How to Bet on USC vs. Arizona State
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