Utah State vs. New Mexico MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 6 seed New Mexico Lobos (22-10, 8-10 MWC) are 3-point underdogs in their MWC Tournament matchup against the No. 3 seed Utah State Aggies (24-7, 13-5 MWC) on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 11:30 PM on CBS Sports Network. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is set at 157.5.
Utah State vs. New Mexico Odds
- Utah State odds to win: -168
- New Mexico odds to win: +144
- Spread: Utah State (-3)
- Total: 157.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 11:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
Who Will Win Utah State vs. New Mexico?
Utah State and New Mexico Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Utah State is 18-8 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
New Mexico has a 5-1-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 3 points or more.
These teams average a combined 160.5 points per game, three more points than the total of 157.5 set for this matchup.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 14 fewer points per game (143.5) than this matchup’s over/under of 157.5 points.
The average point total in Utah State’s games this season is 8.4 fewer points than the total of 157.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for the Lobos this season is 2.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Aggies have gone 19-11-0 ATS this season.
The Lobos have gone 16-13-2 ATS this season.
Utah State Stats & Insights
Utah State averages 79.1 points per game (28th in college basketball) while giving up 70 per outing (175th in college basketball). It has a +281 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 9.1 points per game.
The 32.9 rebounds per game Utah State averages rank 107th in the nation, and are 4.5 more than the 28.4 its opponents record per contest.
The Aggies hit 9.5 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball) at a 40.1% rate (third-best in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 per game their opponents make at a 35.6% rate.
Utah State’s 104.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank seventh in college basketball, and the 92.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 199th in college basketball.
The Aggies are scoring 81.3 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 6.3 more points than they’re averaging in road games (75).
New Mexico Stats & Insights
New Mexico outscores opponents by 7.9 points per game (posting 81.4 points per game, 13th in college basketball, and allowing 73.5 per contest, 280th in college basketball) and has a +253 scoring differential.
New Mexico is 59th in the country at 33.8 rebounds per game. That’s 2.7 more than the 31.1 its opponents average.
New Mexico knocks down 5.8 three-pointers per game (324th in college basketball) while shooting 35.9% from beyond the arc (87th in college basketball). It is making 2.1 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.9 per game at 32.8%.
New Mexico’s 101.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 21st in college basketball, and the 91.5 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 177th in college basketball.
At home the Lobos are putting up 83 points per game, 3.6 more than they are averaging away (79.4).
Utah State Key Players to Watch
Steven Ashworth leads the Aggies in points and assists per game, scoring 16.3 points and distributing 4.7 assists.
Daniel Akin is Utah State’s best rebounder, grabbing an average of 6.8 boards in each contest while scoring 12.1 points per game.
Ashworth makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aggies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.
Ashworth is Utah State’s leader in steals, averaging 1.1 steals per game, while Trevin Dorius leads them in blocks with one per contest.
New Mexico Key Players to Watch
Jamal Mashburn Jr. is the top scorer for the Lobos with 19.5 points per game. He also tacks on 3.3 rebounds and two assists per game to his stats.
New Mexico’s leader in rebounds is Morris Udeze with 9.3 per game, and its leader in assists is Jaelen House with 4.8 per game.
House is the top scorer from distance for the Lobos, hitting 1.8 threes per game.
New Mexico’s leader in steals is House (2.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Udeze (0.8 per game).
Utah State vs. New Mexico Prediction
- Pick ATS:
New Mexico (+3)
- Pick OU:
Utah State 77, New Mexico 75
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How to Bet on Utah State vs. New Mexico
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