Virginia vs. North Carolina ACC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023
The No. 2 seed Virginia Cavaliers (23-6, 15-5 ACC) are 2-point favorites in the ACC Tournament over the No. 7 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (20-12, 11-9 ACC) on Thursday at Greensboro Coliseum. The matchup tips off at 7:00 PM and airs on ESPN, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is 129.
Virginia vs. North Carolina Odds
- Virginia odds to win: -140
- North Carolina odds to win: +118
- Spread: Virginia (-2)
- Total: 129
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Greensboro, North Carolina
- Venue: Greensboro Coliseum
Who Will Win Virginia vs. North Carolina?
Virginia and North Carolina Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Virginia has a 9-14-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.
North Carolina is 0-4 against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this year.
These two teams average 144.9 points per game combined, 15.9 more than the total of 129.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.5 more points per game (131.5) than this game’s total of 129 points.
The average point total for Virginia’s games this year is 0.3 fewer points than the over/under of 129 in this matchup.
The average total in Tar Heels games this season is 18.7 more points than the point total of 129 in this outing.
The Cavaliers’ ATS record is 11-17-1 this season.
So far this season, the Tar Heels have put together an 11-21-0 record against the spread.
Virginia Stats & Insights
Virginia has a +223 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.7 points per game. It is putting up 68.2 points per game to rank 271st in college basketball and is allowing 60.5 per contest to rank eighth in college basketball.
The 29.3 rebounds per game Virginia averages rank 303rd in college basketball. Its opponents collect 28.8 per contest.
The Cavaliers hit 7 three-pointers per game (223rd in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.1 on average.
Virginia scores 98.8 points per 100 possessions (54th in college basketball), while giving up 87.7 points per 100 possessions (74th in college basketball).
The Cavaliers are putting up 68.6 points per game at home. Away from home, they are averaging 65.7 points per contest.
North Carolina Stats & Insights
North Carolina outscores opponents by 5.7 points per game (posting 76.7 points per game, 60th in college basketball, and giving up 71 per contest, 205th in college basketball) and has a +183 scoring differential.
The 36.8 rebounds per game North Carolina accumulates rank seventh in the country, 5.2 more than the 31.6 its opponents collect.
North Carolina knocks down 7.1 three-pointers per game (212th in college basketball) at a 31.2% rate (328th in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 its opponents make, shooting 33.1% from beyond the arc.
North Carolina ranks 94th in college basketball with 97 points scored per 100 possessions, and 124th defensively with 89.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Tar Heels are putting up more points at home (78.3 per game) than on the road (70.2).
Virginia Key Players to Watch
Armaan Franklin leads the Cavaliers in scoring, tallying 12.6 points per game to go with 4.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists.
Virginia’s leading rebounder is Jayden Gardner averaging 5.5 boards per game and its best passer is Kihei Clark and his 5.7 assists per game.
Franklin makes more threes per game than any other member of the Cavaliers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of two per contest.
Reece Beekman and Kadin Shedrick lead Virginia on the defensive end, with Beekman leading the team in steals averaging 1.6 per game and Shedrick in blocks averaging 1.2 per contest.
North Carolina Key Players to Watch
Caleb Love is the top scorer for the Tar Heels with 16.8 points per game. He also adds 3.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game to his scoring output.
North Carolina’s leader in rebounds is Armando Bacot with 10.6 per game, and its leader in assists is RJ Davis with 3.2 per game.
Love is dependable from three-point range and leads the Tar Heels with 2.2 made threes per game.
Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for North Carolina while Bacot (1.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Virginia vs. North Carolina Prediction
- Pick ATS:
North Carolina (+2)
- Pick OU:
North Carolina 70, Virginia 69
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How to Bet on Virginia vs. North Carolina
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