Alabama vs. Mississippi State SEC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

The No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (26-5, 16-2 SEC) are favored by 8 points when they meet the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-11, 8-10 SEC) in the SEC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Friday at Bridgestone Arena starting at 1:00 PM and airing on ESPN. The over/under in the matchup is 139.5.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds

• Alabama odds to win: -365
• Mississippi State odds to win: +287
• Spread: Alabama (-8)
• Total: 139.5

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Bridgestone Arena

Who Will Win Alabama vs. Mississippi State?

Alabama and Mississippi State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season it was favored by 8 points or more, Alabama has a 9-8 record against the spread.

Mississippi State is 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 8 points or more this year.

These teams average 149.2 points per game combined, 9.7 more than the over/under of 139.5.

Alabama and Mississippi State have seen their opponents average a combined 9.3 fewer points per game than the point total of 139.5 set for this matchup.

The average over/under Alabama has had set in matchups this season is 12.9 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Bulldogs this season is 12.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Crimson Tide are 17-14-0 against the spread this season.

The Bulldogs have gone 16-16-0 ATS this year.

Alabama Stats & Insights

Alabama’s +412 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 82.8 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 69.5 per contest (157th in college basketball).

The 40.8 rebounds per game Alabama averages rank first in the country, and are 7.8 more than the 33 its opponents record per contest.

The Crimson Tide knock down 10 three-pointers per game (11th in college basketball), 4.4 more than their opponents (5.6). They are shooting 33.9% from deep (196th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 28.4%.

Alabama averages 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (88th in college basketball), and allows 81.8 points per 100 possessions (seventh in college basketball).

The Crimson Tide are putting up 89.5 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 73.7 points per contest.

Mississippi State Stats & Insights

Mississippi State outscores opponents by 5.7 points per game (posting 66.4 points per game, 314th in college basketball, and allowing 60.7 per contest, 11th in college basketball) and has a +185 scoring differential.

Mississippi State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. It pulls down 35 rebounds per game (32nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.2.

Mississippi State makes 1.9 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.3 (343rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2.

Mississippi State averages 88.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (305th in college basketball), and concedes 80.6 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).

In 2022-23 the Bulldogs are averaging 5.7 more points per game at home (69.6) than away (63.9).

Alabama Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Crimson Tide this season is Brandon Miller, who averages 19.6 points, eight rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game.

Noah Clowney leads Alabama in rebounding, averaging 8.2 per game, while Jahvon Quinerly leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.7 in each contest.

Miller makes more threes per game than any other member of the Crimson Tide, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Mark Sears and Charles Bediako lead Alabama on the defensive end, with Sears leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Bediako in blocks averaging 1.6 per contest.

Mississippi State Key Players to Watch

Tolu Smith puts up 15.8 points and 8.4 rebounds per game for the Bulldogs, making him the top scorer and rebounder on the team.

Dashawn Davis’ assist statline paces Mississippi State; he racks up 3.6 assists per game.

Davis makes 1.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Bulldogs.

Mississippi State’s leader in steals is Davis (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Smith (0.7 per game).

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Alabama (-8)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (139.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Alabama 74, Mississippi State 66

How to Bet on Alabama vs. Mississippi State

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