Dayton vs. Fordham A-10 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 2 seed Dayton Flyers (21-11, 12-6 A-10) are favored by 6.5 points in the A-10 Tournament when they play the No. 3 seed Fordham Rams (25-7, 12-6 A-10) Saturday at Barclays Center, starting at 3:30 PM on CBS Sports Network. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 128.5.
Dayton vs. Fordham Odds
- Dayton odds to win: -291
- Fordham odds to win: +235
- Spread: Dayton (-6.5)
- Total: 128.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Brooklyn, New York
- Venue: Barclays Center
Who Will Win Dayton vs. Fordham?
Dayton and Fordham Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Dayton is 11-10 against the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
Fordham is 2-3 against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 12.4 more points per game, 140.9, than this game’s over/under of 128.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 127.9 points per game, 0.6 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
Dayton’s average total in matchups this season has been 129.3, 0.8 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.
The average over/under in Rams games this year is 10.9 more points than the point total of 128.5 in this outing.
So far this season, the Flyers have put together a 15-17-0 record against the spread.
So far this season, the Rams have put together a 20-11-1 record against the spread.
Dayton Stats & Insights
Dayton is outscoring opponents by 8.2 points per game with a +261 scoring differential overall. It puts up 68.8 points per game (253rd in college basketball) and gives up 60.6 per contest (ninth in college basketball).
Dayton wins the rebound battle by 5.2 boards on average. It collects 33 rebounds per game, which ranks 102nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.8 per outing.
The Flyers knock down 6.8 three-pointers per game (242nd in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.3 on average.
Dayton ranks 132nd in college basketball by averaging 95.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 21st in college basketball, allowing 84 points per 100 possessions.
The Flyers are averaging 73.9 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 9.4 more points than they’re averaging in away games (64.5).
Fordham Stats & Insights
Fordham puts up 72.1 points per game (172nd in college basketball) while giving up 67.3 per contest (96th in college basketball). It has a +155 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.8 points per game.
Fordham prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.2 boards. It grabs 34.6 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.4.
Fordham connects on 7.6 three-pointers per game (154th in college basketball), 2.2 more than its opponents. It shoots 31.8% from deep (306th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 32%.
Fordham’s 91.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 228th in college basketball, and the 85.6 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 40th in college basketball.
The Rams average 74.3 points per game at home, and 68.5 away.
Dayton Key Players to Watch
Daron Holmes leads the Flyers in scoring, tallying 18 points per game to go with 7.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
Toumani Camara is Dayton’s leading rebounder, pulling down 8.8 per game, while Mike Sharavjamts is its best passer, averaging 2.6 assists in each contest.
Koby Brea makes more threes per game than any other member of the Flyers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
The Dayton steals leader is Camara, who averages 1.3 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Holmes, who compiles 1.8 rejections per contest.
Fordham Key Players to Watch
Darius Quisenberry is the top scorer for the Rams with 17.2 points per game. He also adds 3.9 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game to his scoring output.
Fordham’s leader in rebounds is Khalid Moore with 6.7 per game, and its leader in assists is Antrell Charlton with 3.6 per game.
Quisenberry hits 2.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Rams.
Kyle Rose (1.8 steals per game) is the steal leader for Fordham while Abdou Tsimbila (1.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Dayton vs. Fordham Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Fordham (+6.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (128.5)
- Prediction:
Dayton 70, Fordham 64
How to Bet on Dayton vs. Fordham
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