Duke vs. Miami ACC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023
The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (24-8, 14-6 ACC) are 2.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 1 seed Miami Hurricanes (25-6, 15-5 ACC) in the ACC Tournament Friday at Greensboro Coliseum, beginning at 7:00 PM on ESPN2. The point total for the matchup is set at 145.
Duke vs. Miami Odds
- Duke odds to win: -147
- Miami odds to win: +124
- Spread: Duke (-2.5)
- Total: 145
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN2
- Where: Greensboro, North Carolina
- Venue: Greensboro Coliseum
Who Will Win Duke vs. Miami?
Duke and Miami Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 2.5 points or more, Duke has a 10-13 record against the spread.
Miami has a 5-0 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
The Blue Devils and Hurricanes average 7.1 more points between them than the over/under of 145 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 135.7 points per game, 9.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Duke’s average point total in outings this year is 136.5, 8.5 points less than the total in this game.
The average over/under for Hurricanes games this year is 6.2 more points than the point total of 145 in this outing.
The Blue Devils’ ATS record is 13-19-0 this season.
The Hurricanes are 18-13-0 against the spread this season.
Duke Stats & Insights
Duke has a +275 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.6 points per game. It is putting up 72.6 points per game to rank 158th in college basketball and is allowing 64 per contest to rank 32nd in college basketball.
Duke averages 36 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) while allowing 27.9 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.1 boards per game.
The Blue Devils connect on 6.9 three-pointers per game (231st in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.2 on average.
Duke records 96.3 points per 100 possessions (117th in college basketball), while allowing 84.9 points per 100 possessions (33rd in college basketball).
The Blue Devils are posting 76.7 points per game this year in home games, which is 8.7 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (68).
Miami Stats & Insights
Miami is outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game, with a +240 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.5 points per game (23rd in college basketball) and allows 71.7 per contest (231st in college basketball).
Miami ranks 151st in college basketball at 32.2 rebounds per game. That’s 3.3 more than the 28.9 its opponents average.
Miami knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (156th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5. It shoots 37% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.2%.
Miami records 102 points per 100 possessions (15th in college basketball), while allowing 92 points per 100 possessions (194th in college basketball).
The Hurricanes average 83.4 points per game at home, and 75.2 away.
Duke Key Players to Watch
The Blue Devils leader in points and rebounds is Kyle Filipowski, who scores 15.2 points and pulls down 8.9 boards per game.
Jeremy Roach is Duke’s best passer, dishing out 3.3 assists per game while scoring 13 PPG.
The Blue Devils get the most three-point shooting production out of Dariq Whitehead, who knocks down 1.5 threes per game.
Filipowski and Dereck Lively II lead Duke on the defensive end, with Filipowski leading the team in steals averaging 1.2 per game and Lively in blocks averaging 2.3 per contest.
Miami Key Players to Watch
The Hurricanes’ Isaiah Wong puts up enough points (16 per game) and assists (3.5 per game) to top the squad’s leaderboards.
Norchad Omier is at the top of the Miami rebounding leaderboard with 10 rebounds per game. He also scores 14.1 points and adds 1.3 assists per game.
Nijel Pack averages 2.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Hurricanes.
Miami’s leader in steals is Jordan Miller (1.4 per game), and its leader in blocks is Omier (1.4 per game).
Duke vs. Miami Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Duke 73, Miami 71
How to Bet on Duke vs. Miami
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