Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt SEC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023
The No. 3 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-10, 12-6 SEC) are favored by 8.5 points in the SEC Tournament against the No. 6 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (19-13, 11-7 SEC) on Friday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 9:30 PM on SEC Network. The matchup has a point total of 144.5.
Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds
- Kentucky odds to win: -426
- Vanderbilt odds to win: +323
- Spread: Kentucky (-8.5)
- Total: 144.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: SEC Network
- Where: Nashville, Tennessee
- Venue: Bridgestone Arena
Who Will Win Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt?
Kentucky and Vanderbilt Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 8.5 points or more, Kentucky has a 5-8 record against the spread.
Vanderbilt has a 6-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.
These teams average 147.3 points per game combined, 2.8 more than the total of 144.5.
Kentucky and Vanderbilt have seen their opponents average a combined 5.3 fewer points per game than the point total of 144.5 set in this outing.
Kentucky’s average point total in matchups this season is 142.8, 1.7 points below the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Commodores this season is 0.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, the Wildcats have compiled a 15-16-0 record against the spread.
So far this year, the Commodores have put together an 18-14-0 record against the spread.
Kentucky Stats & Insights
Kentucky averages 75.1 points per game (100th in college basketball) while allowing 67.6 per outing (106th in college basketball). It has a +232 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 7.5 points per game.
Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 9.1 boards on average. It collects 36.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.0 per outing.
The Wildcats knock down 6.4 three-pointers per game (287th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.5. They shoot 35.9% from deep while their opponents hit 32.8% from long range.
Kentucky ranks 61st in college basketball with 98.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 105th in college basketball defensively with 88.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Offensively, the Wildcats have played better in home games this year, scoring 78.4 points per game, compared to 71.4 per game away from home.
Vanderbilt Stats & Insights
Vanderbilt scores 72.2 points per game (166th in college basketball) and gives up 71.6 (226th in college basketball) for a +19 scoring differential overall.
Vanderbilt pulls down 33.7 rebounds per game (64th in college basketball), compared to the 33.5 of its opponents.
Vanderbilt hits 1.5 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.4 (66th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.9.
Vanderbilt averages 94.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (175th in college basketball), and concedes 93.2 points per 100 possessions (227th in college basketball).
At home the Commodores are putting up 72.2 points per game, 1.2 fewer points than they are averaging on the road (73.4).
Kentucky Key Players to Watch
The Wildcats leader in points and rebounds is Oscar Tshiebwe, who scores 16.4 points and pulls down 13.1 rebounds per game.
Cason Wallace leads Kentucky in assists, averaging 4.2 per game while also scoring 11.7 points per contest.
Antonio Reeves makes more threes per game than any other member of the Wildcats, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.
Wallace is Kentucky’s leader in steals, averaging 1.9 steals per game, while Tshiebwe leads them in blocks with 1.0 per contest.
Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch
The Commodores’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Liam Robbins with 15.0 points and 6.8 rebounds per game.
Ezra Manjon dishes out more assists than any other Vanderbilt teammate with 3.8 per game. He also scores 9.3 points and grabs 2.8 rebounds per game.
Myles Stute knocks down 2.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Commodores.
Vanderbilt’s leader in steals is Tyrin Lawrence (0.9 per game), and its leader in blocks is Robbins (3.0 per game).
Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Kentucky 74, Vanderbilt 69
How to Bet on Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt
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