Memphis vs. UCF AAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

Social Navigation

Memphis vs. UCF AAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 2 seed Memphis Tigers (23-8, 13-5 AAC) are 5.5-point favorites in the AAC Tournament over the No. 7 seed UCF Knights (18-13, 8-10 AAC) on Friday at Dickies Arena. The matchup starts at 7:00 PM and airs on ESPNU, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 143.5 points.

Memphis vs. UCF Odds

  • Memphis odds to win: -233
  • UCF odds to win: +191
  • Spread: Memphis (-5.5)
  • Total: 143.5

Memphis vs. UCF Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Fort Worth, Texas
  • Venue: Dickies Arena

Who Will Win Memphis vs. UCF?

Memphis and UCF Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Memphis has a 7-11-2 record against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.

UCF has a 4-2 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 5.5 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 8.1 more points per game (151.6) than this matchup’s total of 143.5 points.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 138.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the point total for this game.

Memphis’ average point total in matchups this year is 152.1, 8.6 points higher than the total in this game.

The average point total for the Knights this year is 5.9 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Tigers are 14-15-2 ATS this season.

So far this season, the Knights have put together a 15-15-1 record against the spread.

Memphis Stats & Insights

Memphis is outscoring opponents by 6.9 points per game with a +212 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.5 points per game (23rd in college basketball) and allows 72.6 per outing (255th in college basketball).

Memphis grabs 31.9 rebounds per game (173rd in college basketball) compared to the 30.9 of its opponents.

The Tigers make 5.8 three-pointers per game (324th in college basketball) at a 34.4% rate (172nd in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 per outing their opponents make while shooting 31.4% from beyond the arc.

Memphis ranks 119th in college basketball by averaging 96.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 76th in college basketball, allowing 87.8 points per 100 possessions.

The Tigers are scoring 79.9 points per game this year in home games, which is 2.1 fewer points than they’re averaging in away games (82).

UCF Stats & Insights

UCF puts up 72.1 points per game (169th in college basketball) while giving up 65.5 per contest (53rd in college basketball). It has a +205 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.6 points per game.

UCF is 228th in the nation at 31.1 rebounds per game. That’s 1.8 more than the 29.3 its opponents average.

UCF connects on 2.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.9 (41st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.

UCF’s 94.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 170th in college basketball, and the 85.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 42nd in college basketball.

At home the Knights are putting up 77.2 points per game, 10.8 more than they are averaging on the road (66.4).

Memphis Key Players to Watch

Kendric Davis leads the Tigers in points and assists per game, scoring 21.5 points and distributing 5.6 assists.

DeAndre Williams is Memphis’ best rebounder, grabbing an average of 7.6 boards in each contest while scoring 17 points per game.

The Tigers get the most three-point shooting production out of Davis, who knocks down 1.7 threes per game.

The Memphis steals leader is Davis, who averages 2.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu, who compiles 1.6 rejections per contest.

UCF Key Players to Watch

Taylor Hendricks records 15.6 points and 6.8 rebounds per game for the Knights, enough to make him the top scorer and rebounder on the squad.

Darius Johnson dishes out more assists than any other UCF player with 4.4 per game. He also scores 10.1 points and grabs 2.9 rebounds per game.

Ithiel Horton is the top shooter from deep for the Knights, hitting 2.3 threes per game.

UCF’s leader in steals is Johnson with 2.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Hendricks with 1.6 per game.

Memphis vs. UCF Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    UCF (+5.5)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (143.5)

  • Prediction:
    Memphis 74, UCF 71

How to Bet on Memphis vs. UCF

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

Latest from Bleacher Nation:

Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.