Northwestern vs. Penn State Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023
The No. 2 seed Northwestern Wildcats (21-10, 12-8 Big Ten) are 2-point favorites in the Big Ten Tournament over the No. 10 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (20-12, 10-10 Big Ten) on Friday at United Center. The contest begins at 6:30 PM and airs on Big Ten Network, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is set at 130.5.
Northwestern vs. Penn State Odds
- Northwestern odds to win: -128
- Penn State odds to win: +108
- Spread: Northwestern (-2)
- Total: 130.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- TV: Big Ten Network
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Northwestern vs. Penn State?
Northwestern and Penn State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Northwestern has a 7-7 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
Penn State is 7-5 against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 9.8 more points per game (140.3) than this game’s over/under of 130.5 points.
Northwestern and Penn State have seen its opponents average a combined 0.2 more points per game than the point total of 130.5 set for this matchup.
The average total Northwestern has had set in games this season is 0.4 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Nittany Lions this season is 10.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Wildcats have a 19-12-0 record against the spread this season.
The Nittany Lions’ ATS record is 17-14-1 this season.
Northwestern Stats & Insights
Northwestern is outscoring opponents by 5.4 points per game with a +168 scoring differential overall. It puts up 67.7 points per game (283rd in college basketball) and gives up 62.3 per outing (17th in college basketball).
The 32 rebounds per game Northwestern averages rank 165th in the nation. Its opponents pull down 31.6 per outing.
The Wildcats connect on 7.7 three-pointers per game (140th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.6. They shoot 32.3% from deep while their opponents hit 33.9% from long range.
Northwestern scores 92.2 points per 100 possessions (219th in college basketball), while giving up 84.8 points per 100 possessions (32nd in college basketball).
In home games, the Wildcats are posting 1.3 fewer points per game (68.2) than they are on the road (69.5).
Penn State Stats & Insights
Penn State has a +133 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.2 points per game. It is putting up 72.6 points per game, 158th in college basketball, and is giving up 68.4 per outing to rank 126th in college basketball.
Penn State ranks 292nd in college basketball at 29.7 rebounds per game. That’s 2.9 fewer than the 32.6 its opponents average.
Penn State connects on 10.7 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball), 3.1 more than its opponents.
Penn State’s 101.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 19th in college basketball, and the 95.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 296th in college basketball.
At home, the Nittany Lions score 75.9 points per game. Away, they average 68.4.
Northwestern Key Players to Watch
The Wildcats leader in points and assists is Boo Buie, who scores 17.2 points per game to go with 4.5 assists.
Matthew Nicholson leads Northwestern in rebounding, pulling down 5.5 boards per game while also scoring 6.1 points a contest.
Chase Audige leads the Wildcats in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of two shots per game from beyond the arc.
The Northwestern steals leader is Audige, who averages 2.4 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Nicholson, who compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.
Penn State Key Players to Watch
Jalen Pickett is at the top of nearly all of the Nittany Lions’ leaderboards by putting up 17.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and seven assists per game.
Andrew Funk is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Nittany Lions, hitting three threes per game.
Pickett (one steal per game) is the steal leader for Penn State while Seth Lundy (0.6 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Northwestern vs. Penn State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Penn State (+2)
- Pick OU:
Penn State 69, Northwestern 68
How to Bet on Northwestern vs. Penn State
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