Princeton vs. Pennsylvania Ivy League Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 2 seed Princeton Tigers (19-8, 10-4 Ivy League) are 1.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 3 seed Pennsylvania Quakers (17-12, 9-5 Ivy League) in the Ivy League Tournament Saturday at Jadwin Gymnasium, starting at 1:30 PM on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under set at 147 points.
Princeton vs. Pennsylvania Odds
- Princeton odds to win: -125
- Pennsylvania odds to win: +105
- Spread: Princeton (-1.5)
- Total: 147
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 1:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPNU
- Where: Princeton, New Jersey
- Venue: Jadwin Gymnasium
Who Will Win Princeton vs. Pennsylvania?
Princeton and Pennsylvania Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Princeton has a 9-11 record against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
Pennsylvania has a 6-6 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 1.5 points or more.
These two teams average a combined 151.1 points per game, 4.1 more points than the over/under of 147 set for this game.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 140.4 points per game, 6.6 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
The average point total in Princeton’s games this year is 2.3 fewer points than the total of 147 in this matchup.
The average total in Quakers games this year equals the 147 point total for this outing.
The Tigers’ ATS record is 13-12-0 this season.
The Quakers’ ATS record is 15-11-2 this season.
Princeton Stats & Insights
Princeton is outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game with a +200 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76 points per game (79th in college basketball) and gives up 68.6 per contest (133rd in college basketball).
Princeton is 12th in college basketball at 35.9 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 30 its opponents average.
The Tigers knock down 8.5 three-pointers per game (62nd in college basketball), 2.2 more than their opponents (6.3). They are shooting 34.2% from deep (177th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32%.
Princeton ranks 82nd in college basketball by averaging 97.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 81st in college basketball, allowing 88 points per 100 possessions.
The Tigers are averaging 81.8 points per game this year at home, which is 9.4 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (72.4).
Pennsylvania Stats & Insights
Pennsylvania outscores opponents by 3.3 points per game (posting 75.1 points per game, 99th in college basketball, and allowing 71.8 per outing, 233rd in college basketball) and has a +96 scoring differential.
The 34.4 rebounds per game Pennsylvania accumulates rank 43rd in the country, 4.7 more than the 29.7 its opponents record.
Pennsylvania hits 8.1 three-pointers per game (93rd in college basketball) at a 35.8% rate (94th in college basketball), compared to the 8.7 its opponents make, shooting 32.5% from deep.
Pennsylvania averages 96.8 points per 100 possessions (104th in college basketball), while conceding 92.6 points per 100 possessions (214th in college basketball).
The Quakers are putting up more points at home (80.1 per game) than away (69.9).
Princeton Key Players to Watch
Tosan Evbuomwan leads the Tigers in points and assists per game, scoring 14.5 points and distributing 4.8 assists.
Princeton’s best rebounder is Caden Pierce, who averages 6.8 boards per game in addition to his 8 PPG average.
Ryan Langborg leads the Tigers in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of two shots per game from beyond the arc.
Matt Allocco and Keeshawn Kellman lead Princeton on the defensive end, with Allocco leading the team in steals averaging 0.8 per game and Kellman in blocks averaging 0.8 per contest.
Pennsylvania Key Players to Watch
Jordan Dingle racks up 23.6 points per game to be the top scorer for the Quakers.
Lucas Monroe has a stat line of 5.9 rebounds, 4.8 points and 2.1 assists per game for Pennsylvania to take the top rebound spot on the team. Nick Spinoso holds the top spot for assists with 3.1 per game, adding 8.6 points and 5.5 rebounds per matchup.
Dingle is the top scorer from deep for the Quakers, hitting 2.8 threes per game.
Pennsylvania’s leader in steals is Dingle (1.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Max Lorca-Lloyd (1.2 per game).
Princeton vs. Pennsylvania Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Princeton (-1.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (147)
- Prediction:
Princeton 74, Pennsylvania 72
How to Bet on Princeton vs. Pennsylvania
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