Purdue vs. Rutgers Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023
The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (26-5, 15-5 Big Ten) are favored by 7 points in their Big Ten Tournament matchup against the No. 9 seed Rutgers Scarlet Knights (19-13, 10-10 Big Ten) on Friday at United Center, beginning at 12:00 PM on Big Ten Network. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is set at 127.
Purdue vs. Rutgers Odds
- Purdue odds to win: -316
- Rutgers odds to win: +250
- Spread: Purdue (-7)
- Total: 127
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: Big Ten Network
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Purdue vs. Rutgers?
Purdue and Rutgers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 7 points or more, Purdue has a 7-11 record against the spread.
When it has played as at least a 7-point underdog this season, Rutgers is 1-0 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 14.2 more points per game (141.2) than this game’s over/under of 127 points.
Purdue and Rutgers have seen their opponents average a combined 4.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 127 set for this outing.
Purdue’s average total in matchups this season has been 135.6, 8.6 points higher than the total in this particular game.
The average point total for the Scarlet Knights this season is one point higher than this game’s over/under.
The Boilermakers are 12-18-1 ATS this season.
The Scarlet Knights have a 19-13-0 record against the spread this year.
Purdue Stats & Insights
Purdue’s +331 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.2 points per game (139th in college basketball) while giving up 62.5 per outing (20th in college basketball).
Purdue wins the rebound battle by 12 boards on average. It records 36.4 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 24.4 per contest.
The Boilermakers connect on 6.9 three-pointers per game (232nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.3. They shoot 32.7% from deep while their opponents hit 31.1% from long range.
Purdue ranks 29th in college basketball with 100.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 49th in college basketball defensively with 85.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Offensively, the Boilermakers have fared better at home this season, scoring 76.3 points per game, compared to 67.3 per game in road games.
Rutgers Stats & Insights
Rutgers’ +254 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by eight points per game) is a result of putting up 68 points per game (277th in college basketball) while allowing 60 per contest (fifth in college basketball).
The 34.4 rebounds per game Rutgers accumulates rank 44th in the country, 3.3 more than the 31.1 its opponents collect.
Rutgers knocks down 5.7 three-pointers per game (331st in college basketball) while shooting 31.8% from beyond the arc (309th in college basketball). It is making 1.4 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.1 per game at 30.4%.
Rutgers’ 90.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 266th in college basketball, and the 79.9 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank fifth in college basketball.
In 2022-23 the Scarlet Knights are scoring 6.2 more points per game at home (70.5) than on the road (64.3).
Purdue Key Players to Watch
The Boilermakers leader in points and rebounds is Zach Edey, who scores 21.9 points and pulls down 12.8 boards per game.
Braden Smith leads Purdue in assists, averaging 4.2 per game while also scoring 10 points per contest.
Fletcher Loyer leads the Boilermakers in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Smith is Purdue’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Edey leads them in blocks with 2.3 per contest.
Rutgers Key Players to Watch
Clifford Omoruyi records 13.3 points and 9.8 rebounds per game for the Scarlet Knights, enough to make him the top scorer and rebounder on the team.
Paul Mulcahy’s assist statline paces Rutgers; he dishes out 4.9 assists per game.
Cam Spencer is the most prolific from deep for the Scarlet Knights, hitting two threes per game.
Rutgers’ leader in steals is Caleb McConnell with 2.6 per game, and its leader in blocks is Omoruyi with 2.1 per game.
Purdue vs. Rutgers Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Purdue 68, Rutgers 63
How to Bet on Purdue vs. Rutgers
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