San Diego State vs. San Jose State MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023
The No. 1 seed San Diego State Aztecs (25-6, 15-3 MWC) are favored by 8.5 points in the MWC Tournament when they meet the No. 5 seed San Jose State Spartans (20-12, 10-8 MWC) Friday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 9:30 PM on CBS Sports Network. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total for the matchup is set at 126.
San Diego State vs. San Jose State Odds
- San Diego State odds to win: -389
- San Jose State odds to win: +307
- Spread: San Diego State (-8.5)
- Total: 126
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
Who Will Win San Diego State vs. San Jose State?
San Diego State and San Jose State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
San Diego State is 6-8-1 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
In games this year in which it was an underdog by 8.5 points or more, San Jose State has a 4-5 record against the spread.
The Aztecs and Spartans average 14.7 more points between them than the total of 126 for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined five more points per game, 131, than this game’s over/under of 126 points.
The average point total in San Diego State’s games this year is 10.9 more points than the over/under of 126 in this matchup.
The average over/under for Spartans games this year is 8.8 more points than the point total of 126 in this outing.
The Aztecs are 13-16-1 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Spartans have compiled a 21-10-0 record against the spread.
San Diego State Stats & Insights
San Diego State’s +259 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 72.6 points per game (159th in college basketball) while giving up 64.3 per contest (33rd in college basketball).
San Diego State is 122nd in college basketball at 32.6 rebounds per game. That’s 5.2 more than the 27.4 its opponents average.
The Aztecs connect on 7.4 three-pointers per game (181st in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.5 on average.
San Diego State averages 97.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (88th in college basketball), and allows 86.1 points per 100 possessions (55th in college basketball).
Offensively, the Aztecs have performed better in home games this year, scoring 75.4 points per game, compared to 68.9 per game in road games.
San Jose State Stats & Insights
San Jose State outscores opponents by 1.4 points per game (posting 68.1 points per game, 275th in college basketball, and conceding 66.7 per outing, 74th in college basketball) and has a +44 scoring differential.
The 34.7 rebounds per game San Jose State accumulates rank 39th in the country, 7.9 more than the 26.8 its opponents grab.
San Jose State makes 7.7 three-pointers per game (141st in college basketball) at a 32.7% rate (261st in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 its opponents make, shooting 34.4% from deep.
San Jose State ranks 175th in college basketball averaging 94 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 198th, allowing 92.1 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Spartans average 70.1 points per game. On the road, they score 65.1.
San Diego State Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Aztecs this season is Matt Bradley, who averages 13 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game.
San Diego State’s leading rebounder is Nathan Mensah averaging 5.7 boards per game and its best passer is Darrion Trammell and his 3.5 assists per game.
Adam Seiko makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aztecs, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.8 per contest.
The San Diego State steals leader is Lamont Butler, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Mensah, who compiles 1.5 rejections per contest.
San Jose State Key Players to Watch
Omari Moore’s points (17.8 per game) and assists (4.9 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Spartans’ leaderboards.
Sage Tolbert is at the top of the San Jose State rebounding leaderboard with 7.3 rebounds per game. He also racks up 8.3 points and adds 0.8 assists per game.
Moore is reliable from distance and leads the Spartans with 1.9 made threes per game.
San Jose State’s leader in steals is Moore (0.8 per game), and its leader in blocks is Ibrahima Diallo (1.8 per game).
San Diego State vs. San Jose State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
San Diego State (-8.5)
- Pick OU:
San Diego State 73, San Jose State 63
How to Bet on San Diego State vs. San Jose State
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