Texas vs. TCU Big 12 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023
The Big 12 conference tournament continues Friday as the No. 2 seed Texas Longhorns (24-8, 12-6 Big 12) face off against the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-11, 9-9 Big 12) at T-Mobile Center, beginning at 9:30 PM on ESPN. Texas is a 1.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is 148 for the matchup.
Texas vs. TCU Odds
- Texas odds to win: -128
- TCU odds to win: +108
- Spread: Texas (-1.5)
- Total: 148
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Kansas City, Missouri
- Venue: T-Mobile Center
Who Will Win Texas vs. TCU?
Texas and TCU Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Texas has a 13-13 record against the spread in games it was favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
TCU has a 6-5 record against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
These teams average a combined 154 points per game, 6.0 more points than the total of 148 set for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.0 fewer points per game (136) than this game’s over/under of 148 points.
The average point total for Texas’ games this year is 1.7 fewer points than the total of 148 in this matchup.
The average point total for the Horned Frogs this year is 4.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Longhorns have a 15-17-0 record against the spread this season.
The Horned Frogs are 16-16-0 ATS this year.
Texas Stats & Insights
Texas’ +328 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.3 points per game (35th in college basketball) while giving up 68.0 per outing (119th in college basketball).
Texas pulls down 31.6 rebounds per game (187th in college basketball) compared to the 31.1 of its opponents.
The Longhorns hit 7.4 three-pointers per game (181st in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.5 on average.
Texas averages 99.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (52nd in college basketball), and allows 86.0 points per 100 possessions (53rd in college basketball).
The Longhorns are averaging 84.8 points per game this season in home games, which is 15.4 more points than they’re averaging away from home (69.4).
TCU Stats & Insights
TCU’s +246 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.7 points per game (85th in college basketball) while giving up 68.0 per outing (119th in college basketball).
TCU comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.6 boards. It pulls down 33.2 rebounds per game (93rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.6.
TCU makes 5.4 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.3 on average.
TCU averages 94.3 points per 100 possessions (168th in college basketball), while allowing 84.7 points per 100 possessions (30th in college basketball).
At home, the Horned Frogs score 77.9 points per game. Away, they score 72.4.
Texas Key Players to Watch
The Longhorns leader in points and assists is Marcus Carr, who scores 16.0 points per game to go with 4.2 assists.
Texas’ best rebounder is Timmy Allen, who averages 5.5 boards per game in addition to his 10.5 PPG average.
Carr leads the Longhorns in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Carr is Texas’ leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Dylan Disu leads them in blocks with 1.4 per contest.
TCU Key Players to Watch
Mike Miles puts up 17.4 points per game to be the top scorer for the Horned Frogs.
The TCU leaders in rebounding and assists are Emanuel Miller with 6.5 rebounds per game (he also adds 12.6 points and 1.8 assists per game) and Damion Baugh with 5.9 assists per game (he also tacks on 12.8 points and 4.3 rebounds per game).
Miles makes 1.3 three-pointers per game, the most on the Horned Frogs.
Baugh (1.9 steals per game) is the steal leader for TCU while Charles O’Bannon Jr. (1.0 block per game) is the block leader.
Texas vs. TCU Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Texas 74, TCU 71
How to Bet on Texas vs. TCU
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