Utah State vs. Boise State MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 3 seed Utah State Aggies (25-7, 13-5 MWC) and the No. 2 seed Boise State Broncos (24-8, 13-5 MWC) meet in the MWC Tournament Saturday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at TBA on CBS Sports Network. Utah State is favored by 2 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is 144.
Utah State vs. Boise State Odds
- Utah State odds to win: -135
- Boise State odds to win: +115
- Spread: Utah State (-2)
- Total: 144
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: TBA ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
Who Will Win Utah State vs. Boise State?
Utah State and Boise State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Utah State is 20-8 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
Boise State has a 5-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or more this season.
These teams average 152 points per game combined, eight more than the total of 144.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 9.7 fewer points per game (134.3) than this matchup’s total of 144 points.
Utah State’s average point total in matchups this year is 149.6, 5.6 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Broncos this year is 7.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Aggies have a 20-11-0 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Broncos have compiled a 17-13-1 record against the spread.
Utah State Stats & Insights
Utah State outscores opponents by 9.2 points per game (scoring 79.4 per game to rank 24th in college basketball while allowing 70.2 per contest to rank 178th in college basketball) and has a +296 scoring differential overall.
Utah State wins the rebound battle by 4.4 boards on average. It collects 32.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 107th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.5 per outing.
The Aggies make 9.6 three-pointers per game (16th in college basketball), 2.6 more than their opponents (7). They are shooting 40.4% from beyond the arc (second-best in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.3%.
Utah State’s 104.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank seventh in college basketball, and the 92 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 194th in college basketball.
The Aggies are scoring 81.3 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 75 points per contest.
Boise State Stats & Insights
Boise State is outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game, with a +271 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72.6 points per game (159th in college basketball) and gives up 64.1 per outing (32nd in college basketball).
Boise State wins the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. It records 33.3 rebounds per game, 87th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 29.2.
Boise State connects on 8 three-pointers per game (105th in college basketball) at a 36.6% rate (60th in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 per game its opponents make, at a 30.9% rate.
Boise State’s 97.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 80th in college basketball, and the 86.2 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 57th in college basketball.
At home the Broncos are scoring 75.4 points per game, 5.7 more than they are averaging on the road (69.7).
Utah State Key Players to Watch
Steven Ashworth leads the Aggies in points and assists per game, scoring 16.5 points and distributing 4.7 assists.
Daniel Akin leads Utah State in rebounding, pulling down 6.8 boards per game while also scoring 12.3 points a contest.
The Aggies get the most three-point shooting production out of Ashworth, who knocks down 3.3 threes per game.
The Utah State steals leader is Ashworth, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Trevin Dorius, who compiles one block per contest.
Boise State Key Players to Watch
Marcus Shaver Jr. leads the Broncos in both rebounds and assists with six rebounds and 3.8 assists per game.
Tyson Degenhart scores 14.4 points per game, putting him at the top of the Boise State scoring leaderboard. He also grabs 5.4 rebounds and averages 1.8 assists per game.
Max Rice is consistent from distance and leads the Broncos with 2.2 made threes per game.
Shaver (1.6 steals per game) is the steal leader for Boise State while Naje Smith (1.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Utah State vs. Boise State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Boise State (+2)
- Pick OU:
Utah State 72, Boise State 71
How to Bet on Utah State vs. Boise State
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