Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell America East Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The America East conference champion will be crowned and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket will be awarded on Saturday when the No. 1 seed Vermont Catamounts (22-10, 14-2 America East) and the No. 2 UMass-Lowell River Hawks (26-7, 11-5 America East) play at 11:00 AM, live on ESPN2. Vermont is listed as a 6.5-point favorite to claim the title. The matchup has a point total of 141.
Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell Odds
- Vermont odds to win: -279
- UMass-Lowell odds to win: +225
- Spread: Vermont (-6.5)
- Total: 141
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 11:00 AM ET
- TV: ESPN2
- Where: Burlington, Vermont
- Venue: Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium
Who Will Win Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell?
Vermont and UMass-Lowell Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Vermont has a 10-4-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.
UMass-Lowell is 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least a 6.5-point underdog.
These two teams average 151.7 points per game combined, 10.7 more than the over/under of 141.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 132.6 points per game, 8.4 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
The average point total in Vermont’s games this season is 1.1 fewer points than the total of 141 in this matchup.
The average point total for the River Hawks this year is 3.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Catamounts’ ATS record is 18-12-1 this season.
The River Hawks have a 20-11-0 record against the spread this season.
Vermont Stats & Insights
Vermont’s +199 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.1 points per game (141st in college basketball) while giving up 66.8 per outing (78th in college basketball).
Vermont grabs 29 rebounds per game (315th in college basketball) compared to the 30 of its opponents.
The Catamounts knock down 8.6 three-pointers per game (57th in college basketball), 1.4 more than their opponents (7.2).
Vermont ranks 12th in college basketball by averaging 102.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 238th in college basketball, allowing 93.5 points per 100 possessions.
The Catamounts are averaging 80.6 points per game at home. Away from home, they are averaging 69.2 points per contest.
UMass-Lowell Stats & Insights
UMass-Lowell outscores opponents by 12.8 points per game (posting 78.6 points per game, 32nd in college basketball, and allowing 65.8 per outing, 58th in college basketball) and has a +423 scoring differential.
UMass-Lowell comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.1 boards. It collects 35.6 rebounds per game (21st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.5.
UMass-Lowell hits 7 three-pointers per game (222nd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.2 on average.
UMass-Lowell records 99.8 points per 100 possessions (38th in college basketball), while giving up 83.5 points per 100 possessions (16th in college basketball).
At home the River Hawks are scoring 83.1 points per game, 9.2 more than they are averaging away (73.9).
Vermont Key Players to Watch
The leader in rebounds and assists for the Catamounts is Robin Duncan, who pulls down 7.3 boards and administers 4.5 assists per game to go with a 7.8 PPG scoring average.
Vermont’s leading scorer is Dylan Penn, who tallies 13.2 points a game in addition to his 3.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
Finn Sullivan makes more threes per game than any other member of the Catamounts, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
Sullivan is Vermont’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocks per game.
UMass-Lowell Key Players to Watch
Everette Hammond is at the top of the River Hawks scoring leaderboard with 13.8 points per game. He also pulls down 4.8 rebounds and dishes out 2.4 assists per game.
UMass-Lowell’s leader in rebounds is Abdoul Karim Coulibaly with 7.7 per game, and its leader in assists is Ayinde Hikim with 3.8 per game.
Hammond averages 1.7 three-pointers per game, the most on the River Hawks.
Hikim (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for UMass-Lowell while Max Brooks (1.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell Prediction
- Pick ATS:
UMass-Lowell (+6.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (141)
- Prediction:
Vermont 73, UMass-Lowell 68
How to Bet on Vermont vs. UMass-Lowell
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