Alabama vs. Missouri SEC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

The No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (27-5, 16-2 SEC) and the No. 4 seed Missouri Tigers (24-8, 11-7 SEC) will look to advance in the SEC tournament on Saturday as they meet in the conference tournament at 1:00 PM on ESPN. Alabama is listed as a 9.5-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is set at 158.

Alabama vs. Missouri Odds

• Alabama odds to win: -514
• Missouri odds to win: +390
• Spread: Alabama (-9.5)
• Total: 158

Alabama vs. Missouri Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Bridgestone Arena

Who Will Win Alabama vs. Missouri?

Alabama and Missouri Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Alabama has an 8-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 9.5 points or more.

In games it has played as at least a 9.5-point underdog this season, Missouri is 1-0 against the spread.

Between them, these two teams average 4.6 more points per game (162.6) than this game’s total (158).

Alabama and Missouri have seen their opponents average a combined 14.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 158 set for this outing.

The average total Alabama has had set in matchups this season is 6.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Tigers this season is 3.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Crimson Tide’s ATS record is 18-14-0 this season.

So far this season, the Tigers have put together a 16-14-1 record against the spread.

Alabama Stats & Insights

Alabama is outscoring opponents by 13.6 points per game with a +435 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.5 points per game (sixth in college basketball) and gives up 68.9 per outing (142nd in college basketball).

Alabama is first in the nation at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 7.5 more than the 33.1 its opponents average.

The Crimson Tide make 4.6 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.1 (ninth-most in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 5.5.

Alabama averages 97.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (88th in college basketball), and gives up 81.3 points per 100 possessions (seventh in college basketball).

The Crimson Tide are putting up 89.5 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 15.8 more points than they’re averaging in away games (73.7).

Missouri Stats & Insights

Missouri puts up 80.1 points per game (21st in college basketball) while allowing 74.7 per contest (307th in college basketball). It has a +173 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 5.4 points per game.

Missouri averages 27.8 rebounds per game (351st in college basketball) while conceding 34 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 6.2 boards per game.

Missouri connects on 9.4 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.9. It shoots 36.3% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.6%.

Missouri ranks 26th in college basketball averaging 100.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 255th, allowing 93.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Tigers average 83.6 points per game at home, and 73.3 on the road.

Alabama Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Crimson Tide is Brandon Miller, who averages 19.5 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.

Jahvon Quinerly leads Alabama in assists, averaging 3.7 per game while also scoring 7.9 points per contest.

Miller makes more threes per game than any other member of the Crimson Tide, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Mark Sears is Alabama’s leader in steals, averaging 1.3 steals per game, while Charles Bediako leads them in blocks with 1.7 per contest.

Missouri Key Players to Watch

The Tigers’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Kobe Brown with 16.2 points and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Nick Honor’s assist statline paces Missouri; he racks up 2.8 assists per game.

D’Moi Hodge averages 2.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Tigers.

Hodge is at the top of the Missouri steals and blocks leaderboards with 2.6 steals per game and 0.5 blocks per game.

Alabama vs. Missouri Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Pick Em
  

• Pick OU:

  Under (158)
  

• Prediction:
  Alabama 81, Missouri 72

How to Bet on Alabama vs. Missouri

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