Duke vs. Virginia ACC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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Duke vs. Virginia ACC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (25-8, 14-6 ACC) are 3-point favorites to claim the ACC Tournament Championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 2 seed Virginia Cavaliers (25-6, 15-5 ACC) on Saturday at Greensboro Coliseum. The matchup tips off at 8:30 PM and airs on ESPN. The point total in the matchup is set at 124.

Duke vs. Virginia Odds

  • Duke odds to win: -155
  • Virginia odds to win: +133
  • Spread: Duke (-3)
  • Total: 124

Duke vs. Virginia Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Where: Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Venue: Greensboro Coliseum

Who Will Win Duke vs. Virginia?

Duke and Virginia Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 3-point favorites this season, Duke is 10-13 against the spread.

Virginia has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 3 points or more this year.

The Blue Devils and Cavaliers average 17.3 more points between them than the over/under of 124 for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.7 more points per game (124.7) than this game’s over/under of 124 points.

Duke’s average point total in outings this season is 137.3, 13.3 points higher than the total in this game.

The average total for Cavaliers games this season is 4.7 more points than the point total of 124 in this outing.

The Blue Devils are 14-19-0 ATS this season.

The Cavaliers have a 13-17-1 record against the spread this year.

Duke Stats & Insights

Duke outscores opponents by 8.5 points per game (scoring 72.9 per game to rank 152nd in college basketball while giving up 64.4 per outing to rank 35th in college basketball) and has a +282 scoring differential overall.

Duke wins the rebound battle by 8.2 boards on average. It records 35.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 27.7 per outing.

The Blue Devils make 6.9 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.2 on average.

Duke ranks 99th in college basketball with 96.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 41st in college basketball defensively with 85.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In home games, the Blue Devils are putting up 8.7 more points per game (76.7) than they are on the road (68).

Virginia Stats & Insights

Virginia’s +252 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 68.4 points per game (268th in college basketball) while giving up 60.3 per contest (sixth in college basketball).

The 29.5 rebounds per game Virginia accumulates rank 301st in the nation. Their opponents pull down 29.

Virginia connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.

Virginia ranks 52nd in college basketball with 99.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 71st defensively with 87.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Cavaliers are scoring 2.9 more points per game at home (68.6) than on the road (65.7).

Duke Key Players to Watch

The scoring and rebounding leader for the Blue Devils is Kyle Filipowski, who accumulates 15.3 points and 8.9 rebounds per game.

Jeremy Roach is Duke’s best passer, dishing out 3.2 assists per game while scoring 13 PPG.

The Blue Devils get the most three-point shooting production out of Dariq Whitehead, who makes 1.5 threes per game.

Filipowski is Duke’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Dereck Lively II leads them in blocks with 2.3 per contest.

Virginia Key Players to Watch

Armaan Franklin is the top scorer for the Cavaliers with 12.7 points per game. He also tacks on 4.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game to his scoring output.

Virginia’s leader in rebounds is Jayden Gardner with 5.8 per game, and its leader in assists is Kihei Clark with 5.6 per game.

Franklin is consistent from three-point range and leads the Cavaliers with 1.9 made threes per game.

Virginia’s leader in steals is Reece Beekman (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Kadin Shedrick (1.4 per game).

Duke vs. Virginia Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Virginia (+3)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (124)

  • Prediction:
    Duke 67, Virginia 66

How to Bet on Duke vs. Virginia

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.