Houston vs. Cincinnati AAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

The No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (30-2, 17-1 AAC) play the No. 4 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (21-11, 11-7 AAC) as 9.5-point favorites in the AAC Tournament Saturday at Dickies Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM on ESPN2. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is 135.5 in the matchup.

Houston vs. Cincinnati Odds

• Houston odds to win: -537
• Cincinnati odds to win: +394
• Spread: Houston (-9.5)
• Total: 135.5

Houston vs. Cincinnati Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Where: Fort Worth, Texas
• Venue: Dickies Arena

Who Will Win Houston vs. Cincinnati?

Houston and Cincinnati Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Houston has a 15-12-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 9.5 points or more this season.

In games it has played as at least a 9.5-point underdog this season, Cincinnati is 2-1 against the spread.

The Cougars and Bearcats average 18.1 more points between them than the over/under of 135.5 for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 125.4 points per game, 10.1 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.

The average total Houston has had set in matchups this season is 3.8 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for the Bearcats this year is 11.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Cougars are 17-14-1 against the spread this season.

The Bearcats are 21-10-0 ATS this season.

Houston Stats & Insights

Houston’s +619 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 19.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.5 points per game (87th in college basketball) while giving up 56.2 per contest (second in college basketball).

Houston pulls down 35.8 rebounds per game (16th in college basketball) while allowing 27.1 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.7 boards per game.

The Cougars hit 8 three-pointers per game (105th in college basketball) while shooting 35.1% from deep (126th in college basketball). They are making 1.7 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 6.3 per game while shooting 27.7%.

Houston’s 102 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 16th in college basketball, and the 75.8 points it allows per 100 possessions rank first in college basketball.

The Cougars post 77.3 points per game in home games, compared to 75.6 points per game on the road, a difference of 1.7 points per contest.

Cincinnati Stats & Insights

Cincinnati is outscoring opponents by 8.9 points per game, with a +285 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.1 points per game (37th in college basketball) and allows 69.2 per outing (151st in college basketball).

The 34 rebounds per game Cincinnati accumulates rank 53rd in college basketball, three more than the 31 its opponents collect.

Cincinnati hits 9.1 three-pointers per game (30th in college basketball), 3.2 more than its opponents.

Cincinnati scores 99 points per 100 possessions (54th in college basketball), while giving up 87.7 points per 100 possessions (74th in college basketball).

At home, the Bearcats average 82.7 points per game. On the road, they average 70.1.

Houston Key Players to Watch

The Cougars scoring leader is Marcus Sasser, who averages 17.5 per contest to go with 2.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists.

J’wan Roberts leads Houston in rebounding, averaging 7.3 per game, while Jamal Shead leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 5.3 in each contest.

Sasser leads the Cougars in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Shead and Roberts lead Houston on the defensive end, with Shead leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Roberts in blocks averaging 1.3 per contest.

Cincinnati Key Players to Watch

Landers Nolley II is at the top of the Bearcats scoring leaderboard with 16.7 points per game. He also collects 5.6 rebounds and racks up 2.7 assists per game.

The Cincinnati leaders in rebounding and assists are Viktor Lakhin with seven rebounds per game (he also adds 11.9 points and 0.6 assists per game) and David Dejulius with 5.2 assists per game (he also tacks on 14.8 points and 2.2 rebounds per game).

Nolley is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Bearcats, hitting 2.7 threes per game.

Lakhin is at the top of the Cincinnati steals and blocks leaderboards with 1.2 steals per game and 1.4 blocks per game.

Houston vs. Cincinnati Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Cincinnati (+9.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (135.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Houston 74, Cincinnati 65

How to Bet on Houston vs. Cincinnati

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.