Indiana vs. Penn State Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 3 seed Indiana Hoosiers (22-10, 12-8 Big Ten) are favored by 4 points in their Big Ten Tournament matchup against the No. 10 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (21-12, 10-10 Big Ten) on Saturday at United Center, tipping off at 3:30 PM on CBS. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is set at 139.5.
Indiana vs. Penn State Odds
- Indiana odds to win: -185
- Penn State odds to win: +155
- Spread: Indiana (-4)
- Total: 139.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Indiana vs. Penn State?
Indiana and Penn State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 4-point favorites this season, Indiana is 10-7 against the spread.
Penn State has a 3-4 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 4 points or more.
The Hoosiers and Nittany Lions average 8.0 more points between them than the total of 139.5 for this game.
Indiana and Penn State have seen their opponents average a combined 3.0 fewer points per game than the point total of 139.5 set for this matchup.
The average over/under Indiana has had set in matchups this season is 3.8 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average total in Nittany Lions games this year is 1.2 more points than the point total of 139.5 for this outing.
So far this season, the Hoosiers have compiled a 15-16-1 record against the spread.
The Nittany Lions’ ATS record is 18-14-1 this season.
Indiana Stats & Insights
Indiana outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game (scoring 75.1 per game to rank 99th in college basketball while giving up 68.2 per outing to rank 123rd in college basketball) and has a +221 scoring differential overall.
The 33.1 rebounds per game Indiana averages rank 97th in college basketball, and are 2.3 more than the 30.8 its opponents grab per contest.
The Hoosiers hit 5.8 three-pointers per game (325th in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than their opponents (7.5). They are shooting 37.7% from deep (24th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.2%.
Indiana averages 98.1 points per 100 possessions (72nd in college basketball), while allowing 89.1 points per 100 possessions (112th in college basketball).
The Hoosiers are scoring 80.1 points per game this year at home, which is 12.6 more points than they’re averaging away from home (67.5).
Penn State Stats & Insights
Penn State’s +135 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.4 points per game (162nd in college basketball) while giving up 68.3 per contest (125th in college basketball).
Penn State loses the rebound battle by 2.8 boards on average. It records 29.9 rebounds per game, 284th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.7.
Penn State connects on 3.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.6 (fourth-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5.
Penn State’s 101.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 21st in college basketball, and the 95.5 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 286th in college basketball.
At home the Nittany Lions are putting up 75.9 points per game, 7.5 more than they are averaging away (68.4).
Indiana Key Players to Watch
The Hoosiers leader in points, rebounds and assists is Trayce Jackson-Davis, who puts up 20.7 points, 10.9 boards and 4 assists per game.
Miller Kopp makes more threes per game than any other member of the Hoosiers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.8 per contest.
Race Thompson and Jackson-Davis lead Indiana on the defensive end, with Thompson leading the team in steals averaging 0.9 per game and Jackson-Davis in blocks averaging 2.8 per contest.
Penn State Key Players to Watch
Jalen Pickett holds the top spot on the Nittany Lions leaderboards for scoring (17.8 per game), rebounds (7.4 per game), and assists (6.8 per game).
Andrew Funk is the most prolific from deep for the Nittany Lions, hitting three threes per game.
Penn State’s leader in steals is Pickett with one per game, and its leader in blocks is Seth Lundy with 0.6 per game.
Indiana vs. Penn State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Penn State (+4)
- Pick OU:
Indiana 72, Penn State 70
How to Bet on Indiana vs. Penn State
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