Kansas vs. Texas Big 12 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 1 seed Kansas Jayhawks (27-6, 13-5 Big 12) are favored by two points against the No. 2 Texas Longhorns (25-8, 12-6 Big 12) in the championship game of the Big 12 tournament on Saturday at 6:00 PM, live on ESPN. The winner earns an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is set at 142.5.
Kansas vs. Texas Odds
- Kansas odds to win: -140
- Texas odds to win: +119
- Spread: Kansas (-2)
- Total: 142.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Kansas City, Missouri
- Venue: T-Mobile Center
Who Will Win Kansas vs. Texas?
Kansas and Texas Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Kansas has a 10-12 record against the spread in games it was favored by 2 points or more this season.
Texas has a 1-4 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 2 points or more this year.
Between them, these two teams average 10.9 more points per game (153.4) than this matchup’s over/under (142.5).
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 135.5 points per game, seven fewer than the over/under for this game.
Kansas’ average point total in matchups this season is 143.2, 0.7 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average total in Longhorns games this year is 3.1 more points than the point total of 142.5 in this outing.
The Jayhawks are 16-17-0 ATS this season.
The Longhorns are 16-17-0 ATS this year.
Kansas Stats & Insights
Kansas outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game (scoring 75.5 per game to rank 86th in college basketball while giving up 67.7 per contest to rank 106th in college basketball) and has a +258 scoring differential overall.
Kansas prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.4 boards. It is recording 33.3 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.9 per contest.
The Jayhawks connect on 7.1 three-pointers per game (211th in college basketball) at a 34.7% rate (154th in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 their opponents make while shooting 31.4% from deep.
Kansas records 95.8 points per 100 possessions (126th in college basketball), while allowing 85.9 points per 100 possessions (50th in college basketball).
In home games, the Jayhawks are putting up 4.8 more points per game (78.8) than they are in away games (74).
Texas Stats & Insights
Texas puts up 77.9 points per game (40th in college basketball) while giving up 67.8 per contest (109th in college basketball). It has a +334 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 10.1 points per game.
Texas grabs 31.7 rebounds per game (184th in college basketball), compared to the 31.2 of its opponents.
Texas makes 7.2 three-pointers per game (202nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5. It shoots 34% from deep, and its opponents shoot 32.9%.
Texas averages 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (59th in college basketball), and concedes 85.7 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).
At home, the Longhorns average 84.8 points per game. Away, they score 69.4.
Kansas Key Players to Watch
The Jayhawks leader in points and rebounds is Jalen Wilson, who scores 20 points and pulls down 8.5 rebounds per game.
Dajuan Harris leads Kansas in assists, averaging 6.3 per game while also scoring 8.8 points per contest.
The Jayhawks get the most three-point shooting production out of Gradey Dick, who knocks down 2.4 threes per game.
Harris and KJ Adams lead Kansas on the defensive end, with Harris leading the team in steals averaging 2.2 per game and Adams in blocks averaging 0.8 per contest.
Texas Key Players to Watch
The Longhorns’ Marcus Carr puts up enough points (15.8 per game) and assists (4.1 per game) to sit atop the team’s leaderboards.
Timmy Allen is at the top of the Texas rebounding leaderboard with 5.5 rebounds per game. He also racks up 10.5 points and adds 3.5 assists per game.
Carr is dependable from three-point range and leads the Longhorns with 2.2 made threes per game.
Texas’ leader in steals is Carr (1.8 per game), and its leader in blocks is Dylan Disu (1.4 per game).
Kansas vs. Texas Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Texas (+2)
- Pick OU:
Over (142.5)
- Prediction:
Kansas 73, Texas 72
How to Bet on Kansas vs. Texas
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