Marquette vs. Xavier Big East Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The top-seeded Marquette Golden Eagles (27-6, 17-3 Big East) are favored by 2 points when they face off the No. 2 seed Xavier Musketeers (25-8, 15-5 Big East) in the Big East Tournament Championship with an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket up for grabs. The contest on Saturday at Madison Square Garden begins at 6:30 PM and airs on FOX. The over/under is set at 154 for the matchup.
Marquette vs. Xavier Odds
- Marquette odds to win: -137
- Xavier odds to win: +116
- Spread: Marquette (-2)
- Total: 154
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- TV: FOX
- Where: New York City, New York
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Who Will Win Marquette vs. Xavier?
Marquette and Xavier Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 2-point favorites this season, Marquette is 12-9 against the spread.
Xavier has a 6-2-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 2 points or more.
Between them, these two teams average 8.7 more points per game (162.7) than this game’s over/under (154).
Marquette and Xavier have seen their opponents average a combined 8.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 154 set in this outing.
The average total Marquette has had set in matchups this year is 2.4 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under in Musketeers games this year is 2.7 more points than the point total of 154 in this outing.
The Golden Eagles have gone 21-12-0 ATS this season.
The Musketeers have gone 18-14-1 ATS this year.
Marquette Stats & Insights
Marquette averages 80.4 points per game (18th in college basketball) while giving up 71.2 per contest (213th in college basketball). It has a +304 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 9.2 points per game.
Marquette comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 4.2 boards. It is grabbing 28.3 rebounds per game (334th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5 per contest.
The Golden Eagles make 8.9 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball) while shooting 35.1% from beyond the arc (126th in college basketball). They are making 1.2 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 7.7 per game while shooting 35.5%.
Marquette ranks 12th in college basketball with 102.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 145th in college basketball defensively with 90.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Golden Eagles score 83.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 79.7 points per game in road games, a difference of 3.6 points per contest.
Xavier Stats & Insights
Xavier is outscoring opponents by eight points per game, with a +264 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.3 points per game (seventh in college basketball) and allows 74.3 per outing (298th in college basketball).
Xavier ranks 40th in college basketball at 34.7 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 28.8 its opponents average.
Xavier knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (154th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5. It shoots 40% from deep, and its opponents shoot 36.2%.
Xavier’s 102.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in college basketball, and the 92.4 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 204th in college basketball.
At home, the Musketeers score 83.6 points per game. Away, they average 80.5.
Marquette Key Players to Watch
The Golden Eagles scoring leader is Kam Jones, who averages 15.1 per contest to go with 3.5 rebounds and two assists.
Oso Ighodaro is Marquette’s leading rebounder, grabbing 5.8 per game, while Tyler Kolek is its best passer, averaging 7.8 assists in each contest.
Jones makes more threes per game than any other member of the Golden Eagles, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.
Kolek and Ighodaro lead Marquette on the defensive end, with Kolek leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Ighodaro in blocks averaging 1.5 per contest.
Xavier Key Players to Watch
Souley Boum scores 17 points and adds 4.5 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Musketeers’ leaderboards in those statistics.
Jack Nunge grabs 7.8 rebounds per game (he also scores 14.4 points per game and adds 2.1 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Xavier rebounding leaderboard.
Boum is reliable from deep and leads the Musketeers with 2.3 made threes per game.
Xavier’s leader in steals is Colby Jones (1.4 per game), and its leader in blocks is Nunge (1.1 per game).
Marquette vs. Xavier Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Marquette 78, Xavier 77
How to Bet on Marquette vs. Xavier
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