Purdue vs. Ohio State Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (27-5, 15-5 Big Ten) are 7.5-point favorites in the Big Ten Tournament when they play the No. 13 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (16-18, 5-15 Big Ten) on Saturday at United Center, beginning at 1:00 PM on CBS. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is 133.
Purdue vs. Ohio State Odds
- Purdue odds to win: -365
- Ohio State odds to win: +289
- Spread: Purdue (-7.5)
- Total: 133
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Purdue vs. Ohio State?
Purdue and Ohio State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Purdue has a 7-11 record against the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more.
Ohio State is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least a 7.5-point underdog.
The two teams average a combined 12.8 more points per game, 145.8, than this game’s over/under of 133 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 131.2 points per game, 1.8 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
Purdue’s average point total in matchups this season is 135.6, 2.6 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average total for Buckeyes games this year is 8.4 more points than the point total of 133 in this outing.
The Boilermakers have gone 12-19-1 ATS this season.
The Buckeyes are 14-20-0 ATS this year.
Purdue Stats & Insights
Purdue averages 73.1 points per game (141st in college basketball) while allowing 62.6 per contest (20th in college basketball). It has a +336 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 10.5 points per game.
Purdue grabs 36.3 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) while conceding 24.3 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 12.0 boards per game.
The Boilermakers hit 6.9 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.3 on average.
Purdue puts up 100.4 points per 100 possessions (31st in college basketball), while allowing 86 points per 100 possessions (53rd in college basketball).
The Boilermakers are posting 76.3 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are averaging 67.3 points per contest.
Ohio State Stats & Insights
Ohio State’s +138 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.7 points per game (156th in college basketball) while allowing 68.6 per outing (133rd in college basketball).
Ohio State grabs 33.1 rebounds per game (97th in college basketball) while allowing 29.9 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.2 boards per game.
Ohio State connects on 6.7 three-pointers per game (260th in college basketball) at a 36.6% rate (60th in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 its opponents make, shooting 31.8% from beyond the arc.
Ohio State ranks 104th in college basketball averaging 96.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 171st, allowing 91.4 points per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Buckeyes are scoring 6.6 more points per game at home (74.7) than away (68.1).
Purdue Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Boilermakers is Zach Edey, who averages 21.7 points and 12.8 rebounds per game.
Braden Smith is Purdue’s best passer, dispensing 4.2 assists per game while scoring 9.9 PPG.
Fletcher Loyer makes more threes per game than any other member of the Boilermakers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.7 per contest.
The Purdue steals leader is Smith, who averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Edey, who compiles 2.2 rejections per contest.
Ohio State Key Players to Watch
Brice Sensabaugh puts up 16.3 points per game to be the top scorer for the Buckeyes.
Ohio State’s leader in rebounds is Zed Key with 7.5 per game, and its leader in assists is Isaac Likekele with 2.7 per game.
Sensabaugh is the most prolific from deep for the Buckeyes, hitting 1.8 threes per game.
Bruce Thornton (0.9 steals per game) is the steal leader for Ohio State while Felix Okpara (1.3 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Purdue vs. Ohio State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Ohio State (+7.5)
- Pick OU:
Purdue 73, Ohio State 66
How to Bet on Purdue vs. Ohio State
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