San Diego State vs. Utah State MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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San Diego State vs. Utah State MWC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

College Basketball Predictions

The No. 1 seed San Diego State Aztecs (26-6, 15-3 MWC) are favored by two points against the No. 3 Utah State Aggies (26-7, 13-5 MWC) in the championship game of the MWC tournament on Saturday at 6:00 PM, live on CBS. The winner earns an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 138.5.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Odds

  • San Diego State odds to win: -131
  • Utah State odds to win: +110
  • Spread: San Diego State (-2)
  • Total: 138.5

San Diego State vs. Utah State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Venue: Thomas & Mack Center

Who Will Win San Diego State vs. Utah State?

San Diego State and Utah State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

San Diego State has a 13-12-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.

Utah State has not yet covered the spread as an underdog of 2 points or more this season (0-2).

Between them, these two teams average 13.1 more points per game (151.6) than this matchup’s total (138.5).

San Diego State and Utah State have seen their opponents average a combined 4.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 138.5 set for this game.

San Diego State’s average point total in matchups this season is 136.2, 2.3 points fewer than the total in this game.

The average point total for the Aggies this season is 10.7 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Aztecs’ ATS record is 14-16-1 this season.

The Aggies have gone 21-11-0 ATS this season.

San Diego State Stats & Insights

San Diego State is outscoring opponents by 8.6 points per game with a +274 scoring differential overall. It puts up 72.4 points per game (162nd in college basketball) and allows 63.8 per contest (29th in college basketball).

San Diego State wins the rebound battle by 4.8 boards on average. It records 32.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 119th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 27.8 per contest.

The Aztecs make 7.3 three-pointers per game (193rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.5. They shoot 36% from deep while their opponents hit 29.8% from long range.

San Diego State scores 97.2 points per 100 possessions (89th in college basketball), while allowing 85.7 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).

The Aztecs are putting up 75.4 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 6.5 more points than they’re averaging in road games (68.9).

Utah State Stats & Insights

Utah State outscores opponents by 9.3 points per game (posting 79.2 points per game, 27th in college basketball, and giving up 69.9 per outing, 170th in college basketball) and has a +306 scoring differential.

Utah State averages 33.1 rebounds per game (96th in college basketball) while conceding 28.5 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.6 boards per game.

Utah State makes 9.6 three-pointers per game (16th in college basketball), 2.7 more than its opponents. It shoots 40% from beyond the arc (third-best in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 35.2%.

Utah State ranks eighth in college basketball averaging 103.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 182nd, allowing 91.7 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 the Aggies are averaging 6.3 more points per game at home (81.3) than away (75).

San Diego State Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Aztecs this season is Matt Bradley, who averages 12.8 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game.

San Diego State’s leading rebounder is Nathan Mensah averaging 5.8 boards per game and its best passer is Darrion Trammell and his 3.4 assists per game.

The Aztecs get the most three-point shooting production out of Adam Seiko, who makes 1.7 threes per game.

Lamont Butler is San Diego State’s leader in steals, averaging 1.5 steals per game, while Mensah leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Utah State Key Players to Watch

Steven Ashworth racks up 16.4 points and adds 4.6 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Aggies’ leaderboards in those statistics.

Daniel Akin grabs 6.9 rebounds per game (he also scores 12.1 points per game and adds 0.9 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Utah State rebounding leaderboard.

Ashworth hits 3.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Aggies.

Ashworth (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Utah State while Trevin Dorius (one block per game) is the block leader.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction

  • Pick ATS:

    Utah State (+2)

  • Pick OU:

    Over (138.5)

  • Prediction:
    San Diego State 72, Utah State 70

How to Bet on San Diego State vs. Utah State

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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Author: Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.