Toledo vs. Kent State MAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The MAC conference champion will be crowned and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket will be awarded on Saturday when the No. 1 seed Toledo Rockets (27-6, 16-2 MAC) and the No. 2 Kent State Golden Flashes (27-6, 15-3 MAC) face off at 7:30 PM, live on ESPN2. Toledo is listed as a 1-point favorite to claim the title. The matchup’s over/under is 149.5.
Toledo vs. Kent State Odds
- Toledo odds to win: -110
- Kent State odds to win: -111
- Spread: Toledo (-1)
- Total: 149.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN2
- Where: Cleveland, Ohio
- Venue: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse
Who Will Win Toledo vs. Kent State?
Toledo and Kent State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Toledo is 19-9 against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.
Kent State is a perfect 4-0 against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this season.
The Rockets and the Golden Flashes combine to average 12.4 more points per game than the over/under of 149.5 set for this game.
Toledo and Kent State have seen their opponents average a combined 8.2 fewer points per game than the over/under of 149.5 set in this game.
Toledo’s average point total in outings this year is 161.8, 12.3 points higher than the total in this game.
Golden Flashes games this year have averaged an over/under of 141.5 points, eight fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Rockets are 21-11-0 ATS this season.
The Golden Flashes have a 20-11-1 record against the spread this season.
Toledo Stats & Insights
Toledo’s +323 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 85.8 points per game (second in college basketball) while giving up 76 per contest (327th in college basketball).
Toledo is 232nd in the nation at 31 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.3 its opponents average.
The Rockets make 8.7 three-pointers per game (53rd in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.2. They shoot 40.3% from deep while their opponents hit 35.9% from long range.
Toledo ranks second in college basketball with 107.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 288th in college basketball defensively with 95.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Rockets are posting 90.5 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 8.2 more points than they’re averaging in away games (82.3).
Kent State Stats & Insights
Kent State puts up 76.1 points per game (76th in college basketball) while giving up 65.3 per outing (47th in college basketball). It has a +356 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 10.8 points per game.
Kent State ranks 139th in college basketball at 32.4 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 more than the 30.8 its opponents average.
Kent State connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (126th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7 on average.
Kent State ranks 111th in college basketball averaging 96.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 10th, allowing 82.9 points per 100 possessions.
The Golden Flashes are scoring more points at home (83.9 per game) than on the road (68.3).
Toledo Key Players to Watch
The Rockets leader in points and assists is Rayj Dennis, who puts up 19.5 points per game along with 5.7 assists.
Toledo’s best rebounder is Setric Millner Jr., who averages 5.8 boards per game in addition to his 15.8 PPG average.
Dante Maddox Jr. leads the Rockets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.9 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The Toledo steals leader is Dennis, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is JT Shumate, who compiles 1.1 rejections per contest.
Kent State Key Players to Watch
Sincere Carry collects 17.4 points and adds 4.8 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Golden Flashes’ leaderboards for those statistics.
Miryne Thomas’ stat line of 5.4 rebounds, 10.5 points and 0.8 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Kent State rebounding leaderboard.
Thomas is the top shooter from deep for the Golden Flashes, hitting 1.9 threes per game.
Malique Jacobs (2.8 steals per game) is the steal leader for Kent State while Chris Payton (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Toledo vs. Kent State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Kent State (+1)
- Pick OU:
Toledo 77, Kent State 76
How to Bet on Toledo vs. Kent State
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