Arizona vs. UCLA Pac-12 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The Pac-12 championship will be decided Saturday as the No. 2 seed Arizona Wildcats (27-6, 14-6 Pac-12) play the No. 1 UCLA Bruins (29-4, 18-2 Pac-12) at 10:30 PM, live on ESPN. Arizona is listed as a 1.5-point favorite to win the contest and claim the conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s point total is 147.5.
Arizona vs. UCLA Odds
- Arizona odds to win: -127
- UCLA odds to win: +106
- Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
- Total: 147.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Who Will Win Arizona vs. UCLA?
Arizona and UCLA Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Arizona is 16-15-1 against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
UCLA is 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
The Wildcats and the Bruins combine to average 10.2 more points per game than the over/under of 147.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 132.2 points per game, 15.3 fewer than the over/under in this game.
The average total Arizona has had set in games this year is 7.7 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Bruins this season is 12.9 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Wildcats are 16-16-1 against the spread this season.
The Bruins’ ATS record is 19-13-1 this season.
Arizona Stats & Insights
Arizona averages 83.3 points per game (fourth in college basketball) while allowing 71.9 per contest (234th in college basketball). It has a +378 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.4 points per game.
Arizona records 36.1 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) while allowing 30.3 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.8 boards per game.
The Wildcats make 8.7 three-pointers per game (53rd in college basketball), while their opponents have made 8.2 on average.
Arizona records 102.1 points per 100 possessions (12th in college basketball), while giving up 88.1 points per 100 possessions (82nd in college basketball).
The Wildcats are putting up 85.2 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 8.1 more points than they’re averaging away from home (77.1).
UCLA Stats & Insights
UCLA puts up 74.4 points per game (118th in college basketball) while giving up 60.3 per contest (sixth in college basketball). It has a +465 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 14.1 points per game.
UCLA wins the rebound battle by 3.6 boards on average. It records 32.6 rebounds per game, 120th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.0.
UCLA makes 6.2 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball) at a 35.2% rate (121st in college basketball), compared to the 6.5 its opponents make, shooting 31.1% from deep.
UCLA puts up 98.1 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball), while giving up 79.5 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball).
In 2022-23 the Bruins are scoring 8.0 more points per game at home (77.8) than on the road (69.8).
Arizona Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Wildcats is Azuolas Tubelis, who accumulates 19.8 points and 9.1 rebounds per game.
Kerr Kriisa leads Arizona in assists, averaging 5.4 per game while also scoring 10.2 points per contest.
The Wildcats get the most three-point shooting production out of Courtney Ramey, who knocks down 2.7 threes per game.
The Arizona steals leader is Ramey, who averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Oumar Ballo, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.
UCLA Key Players to Watch
Jaime Jaquez Jr. sits on top of the Bruins leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 17.5 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.
Tyger Campbell dishes out more assists than any other UCLA player with 4.7 per game. He also averages 13.5 points and grabs 2.5 rebounds per game.
David Singleton is consistent from three-point range and leads the Bruins with 2.0 made threes per game.
UCLA’s leader in steals is Jaylen Clark with 2.6 per game, and its leader in blocks is Adem Bona with 1.7 per game.
Arizona vs. UCLA Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
UCLA 73, Arizona 72
How to Bet on Arizona vs. UCLA
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