UCSB vs. CSU Fullerton Big West Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023
The No. 4 seed CSU Fullerton Titans (20-12, 12-6 Big West) are 2.5-point underdogs in the Big West championship game, as bookmakers think the No. 2 UCSB Gauchos (26-7, 15-5 Big West) will claim the automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The title game tips off Saturday at 9:30 PM, live on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 130.5.
UCSB vs. CSU Fullerton Odds
- UCSB odds to win: -146
- CSU Fullerton odds to win: +123
- Spread: UCSB (-2.5)
- Total: 130.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Henderson, Nevada
- Venue: Dollar Loan Center
Who Will Win UCSB vs. CSU Fullerton?
UCSB and CSU Fullerton Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 2.5 points or more, UCSB has a 15-10-1 record against the spread.
CSU Fullerton has a 13-3-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.
Between them, these two teams average 11.1 more points per game (141.6) than this game’s total (130.5).
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 130.6 points per game, 0.1 more than the over/under for this game.
UCSB’s average point total in outings this year is 137.9, 7.4 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Titans this year is 3.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.
The Gauchos are 19-11-1 against the spread this season.
The Titans are 20-9-1 against the spread this year.
UCSB Stats & Insights
UCSB has a +213 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.5 points per game. It is putting up 72.2 points per game to rank 166th in college basketball and is allowing 65.7 per contest to rank 54th in college basketball.
UCSB ranks 305th in college basketball at 29.2 rebounds per game. That’s 2.8 more than the 26.4 its opponents average.
The Gauchos make 5.5 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 5.9 on average.
UCSB’s 100.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 31st in college basketball, and the 91.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 165th in college basketball.
The Gauchos are putting up 75.3 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are averaging 69.6 points per contest.
CSU Fullerton Stats & Insights
CSU Fullerton is outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game, with a +145 scoring differential overall. It puts up 69.4 points per game (233rd in college basketball) and gives up 64.9 per contest (39th in college basketball).
The 30.8 rebounds per game CSU Fullerton accumulates rank 240th in college basketball. Their opponents grab 31.6.
CSU Fullerton hits 7.8 three-pointers per game (126th in college basketball) at a 37.4% rate (31st in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 per game its opponents make, at a 31% rate.
CSU Fullerton’s 92.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 212th in college basketball, and the 86.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 60th in college basketball.
At home, the Titans average 72.7 points per game. Away, they score 67.4.
UCSB Key Players to Watch
The Gauchos leader in points and assists is Ajay Mitchell, who puts up 16.3 points per game to go with 5.2 assists.
Andre Kelly leads UCSB in rebounding, pulling down 6.3 rebounds per game while also scoring 9.5 points a contest.
The Gauchos get the most three-point shooting production out of Miles Norris, who makes 1.7 threes per game.
Mitchell and Norris lead UCSB on the defensive end, with Mitchell leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and Norris in blocks averaging 0.8 per contest.
CSU Fullerton Key Players to Watch
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. averages 16.4 points and adds 2.4 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Titans’ leaderboards in those statistics.
Vincent Lee’s stat line of 4.7 rebounds, 7.6 points and 0.6 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the CSU Fullerton rebounding leaderboard.
Wrightsell is dependable from three-point range and leads the Titans with 2.4 made threes per game.
Wrightsell (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for CSU Fullerton while John Square Jr. (0.6 blocks per game) is the block leader.
UCSB vs. CSU Fullerton Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
UCSB 69, CSU Fullerton 67
How to Bet on UCSB vs. CSU Fullerton
And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.