Houston vs. Memphis AAC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 12, 2023
The No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (31-2, 17-1 AAC) are 5.5-point favorites to claim the AAC championship and a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket when they meet the No. 2 Memphis Tigers (25-8, 13-5 AAC) on Sunday at 3:15 PM, live on ESPN. The over/under in the matchup is set at 135.5.
Houston vs. Memphis Odds
- Houston odds to win: -251
- Memphis odds to win: +203
- Spread: Houston (-5.5)
- Total: 135.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 12, 2023
- Time: 3:15 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Fort Worth, Texas
- Venue: Dickies Arena
Who Will Win Houston vs. Memphis?
Houston and Memphis Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Houston is 17-13-1 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
When it has played as at least a 5.5-point underdog this season, Memphis is 2-0 against the spread.
The Cougars and Tigers average 19.7 more points between them than the total of 135.5 for this matchup.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.4 fewer points per game (128.1) than this matchup’s total of 135.5 points.
The average point total for Houston’s games this year is 4.2 fewer points than the total of 135.5 in this matchup.
Tigers games this season have averaged an over/under of 152.1 points, 16.6 more than the point total in this matchup.
So far this season, the Cougars have compiled an 18-14-1 record against the spread.
So far this year, the Tigers have put together a 15-16-2 record against the spread.
Houston Stats & Insights
Houston outscores opponents by 19.4 points per game (scoring 75.3 per game to rank 91st in college basketball while giving up 55.9 per outing to rank second in college basketball) and has a +640 scoring differential overall.
The 35.9 rebounds per game Houston averages rank 13th in the country, and are 8.7 more than the 27.2 its opponents pull down per outing.
The Cougars hit 7.8 three-pointers per game (126th in college basketball), 1.5 more than their opponents (6.3).
Houston ranks 13th in college basketball with 101.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and first in college basketball defensively with 75.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Cougars put up 77.3 points per game in home games, compared to 75.6 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 1.7 points per contest.
Memphis Stats & Insights
Memphis puts up 79.9 points per game (19th in college basketball) while giving up 72.2 per contest (247th in college basketball). It has a +257 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.7 points per game.
Memphis ranks 151st in the nation at 32.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.3 its opponents average.
Memphis hits 6.2 three-pointers per game (300th in college basketball), 1.8 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 35.3% from beyond the arc (114th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 31%.
Memphis averages 96.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (115th in college basketball), and allows 87.1 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball).
At home the Tigers are putting up 79.9 points per game, 2.1 fewer points than they are averaging away (82).
Houston Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Cougars this season is Marcus Sasser, who averages 17.1 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game.
J’wan Roberts leads Houston in rebounding, averaging 7.4 per game, while Jamal Shead leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 5.5 in each contest.
The Cougars get the most three-point shooting production out of Sasser, who makes 2.7 threes per game.
The Houston steals leader is Shead, who averages 1.8 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Roberts, who compiles 1.3 rejections per contest.
Memphis Key Players to Watch
Kendric Davis collects 21.8 points and tacks on 5.7 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Tigers’ leaderboards in those statistics.
DeAndre Williams is at the top of the Memphis rebounding leaderboard with 7.9 rebounds per game. He also notches 17.9 points and adds 2.9 assists per game.
Davis is consistent from deep and leads the Tigers with 1.9 made threes per game.
Memphis’ leader in steals is Davis (two per game), and its leader in blocks is Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu (1.6 per game).
Houston vs. Memphis Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Houston 74, Memphis 68
How to Bet on Houston vs. Memphis
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