Purdue vs. Penn State Big Ten Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 12, 2023
The Big Ten conference champion will be crowned and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket will be awarded on Sunday when the No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (28-5, 15-5 Big Ten) and the No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions (22-12, 10-10 Big Ten) play at 3:30 PM, live on CBS. Purdue is listed as a 7.5-point favorite to claim the title. The matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points.
Purdue vs. Penn State Odds
- Purdue odds to win: -342
- Penn State odds to win: +270
- Spread: Purdue (-7.5)
- Total: 134.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 12, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: United Center
Who Will Win Purdue vs. Penn State?
Purdue and Penn State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When it has played as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, Purdue is 8-11 against the spread.
Penn State is 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year.
The Boilermakers and Nittany Lions average 11.3 more points between them than the total of 134.5 for this game.
Purdue and Penn State have seen their opponents average a combined 3.4 fewer points per game than the point total of 134.5 set in this outing.
The average over/under Purdue has had in its matchups this season is 1.4 more points than this particular game’s point total.
Nittany Lions games this season have averaged an over/under of 141 points, 6.5 more than the point total in this matchup.
The Boilermakers have a 13-19-1 record against the spread this season.
The Nittany Lions’ ATS record is 19-14-1 this season.
Purdue Stats & Insights
Purdue outscores opponents by 10.6 points per game (scoring 73.3 per game to rank 136th in college basketball while giving up 62.7 per outing to rank 22nd in college basketball) and has a +350 scoring differential overall.
The 36.2 rebounds per game Purdue averages rank ninth in college basketball, and are 11.9 more than the 24.3 its opponents collect per outing.
The Boilermakers knock down 6.9 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.4. They shoot 33.1% from deep while their opponents hit 31.4% from long range.
Purdue records 100.8 points per 100 possessions (26th in college basketball), while allowing 86.2 points per 100 possessions (52nd in college basketball).
In home games, the Boilermakers are putting up nine more points per game (76.3) than they are when playing on the road (67.3).
Penn State Stats & Insights
Penn State puts up 72.5 points per game (159th in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per outing (124th in college basketball). It has a +139 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.1 points per game.
The 30.1 rebounds per game Penn State accumulates rank 271st in college basketball, 2.5 fewer than the 32.6 its opponents record.
Penn State connects on 10.5 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball) at a 38.7% rate (11th in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 per game its opponents make, at a 33.7% rate.
Penn State ranks 19th in college basketball with 101.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 287th defensively with 95.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2022-23 the Nittany Lions are scoring 7.5 more points per game at home (75.9) than away (68.4).
Purdue Key Players to Watch
Zach Edey leads the Boilermakers in scoring and rebounding, putting up 22.1 points and 12.8 boards per game.
Braden Smith is Purdue’s best passer, distributing 4.2 assists per game while scoring 10 PPG.
Fletcher Loyer leads the Boilermakers in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Smith is Purdue’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Edey leads them in blocks with 2.2 per contest.
Penn State Key Players to Watch
Jalen Pickett holds the top spot on the Nittany Lions leaderboards for scoring (18.1 per game), rebounds (7.4 per game), and assists (6.8 per game).
Andrew Funk is the top shooter from distance for the Nittany Lions, hitting three threes per game.
Pickett (0.9 steals per game) is the steal leader for Penn State while Seth Lundy (0.6 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Purdue vs. Penn State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Penn State (+7.5)
- Pick OU:
Purdue 73, Penn State 66
How to Bet on Purdue vs. Penn State
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