VCU vs. Dayton A-10 Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 12, 2023
The A-10 conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket are on the line when the No. 1 seed VCU Rams (26-7, 15-3 A-10) and the No. 2 Dayton Flyers (22-11, 12-6 A-10) meet on Sunday at 1:00 PM, live on CBS. VCU is favored by 1.5 points for this championship game. The point total is set at 124.5 for the matchup.
VCU vs. Dayton Odds
- VCU odds to win: -135
- Dayton odds to win: +114
- Spread: VCU (-1.5)
- Total: 124.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Sunday, March 12, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV: CBS
- Where: Brooklyn, New York
- Venue: Barclays Center
Who Will Win VCU vs. Dayton?
VCU and Dayton Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
VCU has a 15-12 record against the spread this season when favored by 1.5 points or more.
Dayton has a 1-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 16 more points per game, 140.5, than this game’s over/under of 124.5 points.
VCU and Dayton have seen their opponents average a combined 0.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 124.5 set for this game.
The average point total for VCU’s games this season is 10.2 more points than the total of 124.5 in this matchup.
The average total for Flyers games this year is 5.3 more points than the point total of 124.5 for this outing.
The Rams have gone 18-15-0 ATS this season.
The Flyers have a 16-17-0 record against the spread this year.
VCU Stats & Insights
VCU is outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game with a +278 scoring differential overall. It puts up 71.5 points per game (186th in college basketball) and allows 63.1 per contest (25th in college basketball).
The 30.5 rebounds per game VCU averages rank 257th in the country. Its opponents record 30 per outing.
The Rams make 6 three-pointers per game (315th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.1. They shoot 34.4% from deep while their opponents hit 33% from long range.
VCU’s 94 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 176th in college basketball, and the 83 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 11th in college basketball.
In home games, the Rams are scoring 4.3 more points per game (73) than they are when playing on the road (68.7).
Dayton Stats & Insights
Dayton has a +271 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.2 points per game. It is putting up 69 points per game, 248th in college basketball, and is giving up 60.8 per contest to rank 10th in college basketball.
Dayton averages 32.9 rebounds per game (106th in college basketball) while allowing 27.6 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.3 boards per game.
Dayton makes 6.7 three-pointers per game (260th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.4 on average.
Dayton averages 96 points per 100 possessions on offense (122nd in college basketball), and concedes 84.6 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
In 2022-23 the Flyers are averaging 9.4 more points per game at home (73.9) than on the road (64.5).
VCU Key Players to Watch
The Rams leader in points and assists is Adrian Baldwin Jr., who scores 12.6 points per game to go with 5.8 assists.
VCU’s best rebounder is Jalen DeLoach, who averages 6.9 boards per game in addition to his 9.9 PPG average.
The Rams get the most three-point shooting production out of David Shriver, who makes 1.8 threes per game.
Baldwin is VCU’s leader in steals, averaging 2.3 steals per game, while DeLoach leads them in blocks with 1.4 per contest.
Dayton Key Players to Watch
Daron Holmes is at the top of the Flyers scoring leaderboard with 18.1 points per game. He also grabs 7.8 rebounds and averages 1.8 assists per game.
The Dayton leaders in rebounding and assists are Toumani Camara with 8.7 rebounds per game (he also adds 14.2 points and 1.8 assists per game) and Mike Sharavjamts with 2.6 assists per game (he also tacks on 5.7 points and 1.9 rebounds per game).
Koby Brea averages 1.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Flyers.
Dayton’s leader in steals is Camara (1.2 per game), and its leader in blocks is Holmes (1.8 per game).
VCU vs. Dayton Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
VCU 67, Dayton 65
How to Bet on VCU vs. Dayton
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